Itiquira Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0022

ITQRW Stock  USD 0.0022  0.0051  69.86%   
Itiquira Acquisition's future price is the expected price of Itiquira Acquisition instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Itiquira Acquisition Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please see Itiquira Acquisition Backtesting, Itiquira Acquisition Valuation, Itiquira Acquisition Correlation, Itiquira Acquisition Hype Analysis, Itiquira Acquisition Volatility, Itiquira Acquisition History as well as Itiquira Acquisition Performance. Please specify Itiquira Acquisition time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Itiquira Acquisition odds to be computed.

Itiquira Acquisition Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0022

The tendency of Itiquira Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.0022 90 days 0.0022 
about 86.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Itiquira Acquisition to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 86.72 (This Itiquira Acquisition Corp probability density function shows the probability of Itiquira Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.89 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Itiquira Acquisition will likely underperform. In addition to that The company has an alpha of 16.4252, implying that it can generate a 16.43 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Itiquira Acquisition Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Itiquira Acquisition

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Itiquira Acquisition Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Itiquira Acquisition's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Itiquira Acquisition in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.000.00204150.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.000.0110350.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0000750.00373989.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-0.00270.0109970.024735
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Itiquira Acquisition. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Itiquira Acquisition's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Itiquira Acquisition's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Itiquira Acquisition Corp.

Itiquira Acquisition Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Itiquira Acquisition is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Itiquira Acquisition's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Itiquira Acquisition Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Itiquira Acquisition within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
16.43
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.89
σ
Overall volatility
0.020308
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Itiquira Acquisition Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Itiquira Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Itiquira Acquisition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Itiquira Acquisition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding28.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments619.24

Itiquira Acquisition Technical Analysis

Itiquira Acquisition's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Itiquira Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Itiquira Acquisition Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Itiquira Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Itiquira Acquisition Predictive Forecast Models

Itiquira Acquisition time-series forecasting models is one of many Itiquira Acquisition's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Itiquira Acquisition's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Itiquira Acquisition in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Itiquira Acquisition's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Itiquira Acquisition options trading.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Itiquira Acquisition Corp price analysis, check to measure Itiquira Acquisition's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Itiquira Acquisition is operating at the current time. Most of Itiquira Acquisition's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Itiquira Acquisition's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Itiquira Acquisition's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Itiquira Acquisition to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Itiquira Acquisition's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Itiquira Acquisition. If investors know Itiquira will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Itiquira Acquisition listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
278.6 M
The market value of Itiquira Acquisition Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Itiquira that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Itiquira Acquisition's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Itiquira Acquisition's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Itiquira Acquisition's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Itiquira Acquisition's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Itiquira Acquisition's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Itiquira Acquisition value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Itiquira Acquisition's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.