Jaguar Animal Health Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.24
| JAGX Stock | USD 3.62 0.33 8.35% |
Jaguar |
Jaguar Animal Target Price Odds to finish over 0.24
The tendency of Jaguar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 0.24 in 90 days |
| 3.62 | 90 days | 0.24 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jaguar Animal to stay above $ 0.24 in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Jaguar Animal Health probability density function shows the probability of Jaguar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jaguar Animal Health price to stay between $ 0.24 and its current price of $3.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.79 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.22 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Jaguar Animal will likely underperform. Additionally Jaguar Animal Health has an alpha of 0.6382, implying that it can generate a 0.64 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Jaguar Animal Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Jaguar Animal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jaguar Animal Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jaguar Animal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Jaguar Animal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jaguar Animal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jaguar Animal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jaguar Animal Health, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jaguar Animal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.64 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Jaguar Animal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jaguar Animal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jaguar Animal Health can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jaguar Animal Health is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Jaguar Animal Health appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Jaguar Animal Health has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Jaguar Animal Healthhas 12,705,506 shares shorted by Jaguar Animal investors is about 200% of outstending shares | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 9.76 M. Net Loss for the year was (41.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2 M. | |
| Jaguar Animal Health currently holds about 9.01 M in cash with (33.24 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08. | |
| Jaguar Animal Health has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Jaguar Animal Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jaguar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jaguar Animal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jaguar Animal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 384.5 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.5 M |
Jaguar Animal Technical Analysis
Jaguar Animal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jaguar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jaguar Animal Health. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jaguar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jaguar Animal Predictive Forecast Models
Jaguar Animal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jaguar Animal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jaguar Animal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jaguar Animal Health
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jaguar Animal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jaguar Animal Health help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jaguar Animal Health is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Jaguar Animal Health appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Jaguar Animal Health has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Jaguar Animal Healthhas 12,705,506 shares shorted by Jaguar Animal investors is about 200% of outstending shares | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 9.76 M. Net Loss for the year was (41.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2 M. | |
| Jaguar Animal Health currently holds about 9.01 M in cash with (33.24 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08. | |
| Jaguar Animal Health has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Additional Tools for Jaguar Stock Analysis
When running Jaguar Animal's price analysis, check to measure Jaguar Animal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jaguar Animal is operating at the current time. Most of Jaguar Animal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jaguar Animal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jaguar Animal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jaguar Animal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.