Jamf Holding Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 52.29

JAMF Etf  USD 19.65  0.38  1.97%   
Jamf Holding's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Jamf Holding. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Jamf Holding based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Jamf Holding over a specific time period. For example, 2024-05-17 CALL at $20.0 is a CALL option contract on Jamf Holding's common stock with a strick price of 20.0 expiring on 2024-05-17. The contract was last traded on 2024-04-22 at 12:55:56 for $0.55 and, as of today, has 23 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.6, and an ask price of $0.75. The implied volatility as of the 25th of April is 49.49. View All Jamf options

Closest to current price Jamf long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Jamf Holding's future price is the expected price of Jamf Holding instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jamf Holding performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jamf Holding Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jamf Holding Correlation, Jamf Holding Hype Analysis, Jamf Holding Volatility, Jamf Holding History as well as Jamf Holding Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Jamf Etf please use our How to Invest in Jamf Holding guide.
  
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Jamf Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 52.29

The tendency of Jamf Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 52.29  or more in 90 days
 19.65 90 days 52.29 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jamf Holding to move over $ 52.29  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Jamf Holding probability density function shows the probability of Jamf Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jamf Holding price to stay between its current price of $ 19.65  and $ 52.29  at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.13 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.76 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Jamf Holding will likely underperform. Additionally Jamf Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Jamf Holding Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jamf Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jamf Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jamf Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.2119.6622.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.6021.0523.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.7819.2321.68
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
23.2625.5628.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jamf Holding. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jamf Holding's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jamf Holding's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jamf Holding.

Jamf Holding Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jamf Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jamf Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jamf Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jamf Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.12
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.76
σ
Overall volatility
0.98
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Jamf Holding Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jamf Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jamf Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 560.57 M. Net Loss for the year was (110.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 379.89 M.
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from investing.com: Jamf holding corp CTO sells over 137k in company stock
The fund retains all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Jamf Holding Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jamf Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jamf Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jamf Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding124.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments247.2 M

Jamf Holding Technical Analysis

Jamf Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jamf Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jamf Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jamf Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jamf Holding Predictive Forecast Models

Jamf Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jamf Holding's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jamf Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jamf Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jamf Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jamf Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 560.57 M. Net Loss for the year was (110.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 379.89 M.
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from investing.com: Jamf holding corp CTO sells over 137k in company stock
The fund retains all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Check out Jamf Holding Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jamf Holding Correlation, Jamf Holding Hype Analysis, Jamf Holding Volatility, Jamf Holding History as well as Jamf Holding Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Jamf Etf please use our How to Invest in Jamf Holding guide.
You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
The market value of Jamf Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jamf that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jamf Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jamf Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jamf Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jamf Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jamf Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jamf Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jamf Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.