Jd Inc Adr Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 27.23

JD Stock  USD 27.23  0.87  3.30%   
JD's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on JD Inc Adr. Implied volatility approximates the future value of JD based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in JD Inc Adr over a specific time period. For example, 2024-03-28 CALL at $27.0 is a CALL option contract on JD's common stock with a strick price of 27.0 expiring on 2024-03-28. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:59:49 for $0.42 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.4, and an ask price of $0.45. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 51.95. View All JD options

Closest to current price JD long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

JD's future price is the expected price of JD instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of JD Inc Adr performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out JD Backtesting, JD Valuation, JD Correlation, JD Hype Analysis, JD Volatility, JD History as well as JD Performance.
  
At present, JD's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Cash Flow Ratio is expected to grow to 11.37, whereas Price Book Value Ratio is forecasted to decline to 2.64. Please specify JD's target price for which you would like JD odds to be computed.

JD Target Price Odds to finish over 27.23

The tendency of JD Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 27.23 90 days 27.23 
about 12.86
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JD to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 12.86 (This JD Inc Adr probability density function shows the probability of JD Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.03 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, JD will likely underperform. Additionally JD Inc Adr has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   JD Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for JD

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JD Inc Adr. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of JD's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.5427.2430.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.5131.5335.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.5326.2329.94
Details
37 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
44.6949.1154.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as JD. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against JD's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, JD's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in JD Inc Adr.

JD Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JD is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JD's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JD Inc Adr, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JD within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.24
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.03
σ
Overall volatility
2.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

JD Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JD for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JD Inc Adr can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
JD Inc Adr generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
JD Inc Adr has high historical volatility and very poor performance
JD Inc Adr is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
JD Inc Adr has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Artificial Intelligence Stock Nvidia May Be in a Bubble, but These 3 AI Stocks Have Never Been Cheaper

JD Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of JD Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JD's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JD's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments197.7 B

JD Technical Analysis

JD's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JD Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JD Inc Adr. In general, you should focus on analyzing JD Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

JD Predictive Forecast Models

JD's time-series forecasting models is one of many JD's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JD's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about JD Inc Adr

Checking the ongoing alerts about JD for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JD Inc Adr help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
JD Inc Adr generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
JD Inc Adr has high historical volatility and very poor performance
JD Inc Adr is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
JD Inc Adr has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Artificial Intelligence Stock Nvidia May Be in a Bubble, but These 3 AI Stocks Have Never Been Cheaper
When determining whether JD Inc Adr is a strong investment it is important to analyze JD's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact JD's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding JD Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out JD Backtesting, JD Valuation, JD Correlation, JD Hype Analysis, JD Volatility, JD History as well as JD Performance.
Note that the JD Inc Adr information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other JD's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

Complementary Tools for JD Stock analysis

When running JD's price analysis, check to measure JD's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JD is operating at the current time. Most of JD's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JD's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JD's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JD to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is JD's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of JD. If investors know JD will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about JD listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.188
Dividend Share
5.389
Earnings Share
2.13
Revenue Per Share
689.989
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.036
The market value of JD Inc Adr is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JD that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JD's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JD's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JD's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JD's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JD's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JD is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JD's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.