Jd Logistics Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 1.0
| JDLGF Stock | USD 1.00 0.00 0.00% |
JDLGF |
JD Logistics Target Price Odds to finish over 1.0
The tendency of JDLGF Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.00 | 90 days | 1.00 | about 38.52 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JD Logistics to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 38.52 (This JD Logistics probability density function shows the probability of JDLGF Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon JD Logistics has a beta of 0.45. This indicates as returns on the market go up, JD Logistics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding JD Logistics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally JD Logistics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. JD Logistics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for JD Logistics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JD Logistics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of JD Logistics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
JD Logistics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JD Logistics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JD Logistics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JD Logistics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JD Logistics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.32 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
JD Logistics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JD Logistics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JD Logistics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| JD Logistics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| JD Logistics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 104.69 B. Net Loss for the year was (15.84 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.78 B. | |
| About 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
JD Logistics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of JDLGF Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JD Logistics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JD Logistics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.2 B |
JD Logistics Technical Analysis
JD Logistics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JDLGF Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JD Logistics. In general, you should focus on analyzing JDLGF Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JD Logistics Predictive Forecast Models
JD Logistics' time-series forecasting models is one of many JD Logistics' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JD Logistics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about JD Logistics
Checking the ongoing alerts about JD Logistics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JD Logistics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| JD Logistics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| JD Logistics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 104.69 B. Net Loss for the year was (15.84 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.78 B. | |
| About 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out JD Logistics Backtesting, JD Logistics Valuation, JD Logistics Correlation, JD Logistics Hype Analysis, JD Logistics Volatility, JD Logistics History as well as JD Logistics Performance. Note that the JD Logistics information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other JD Logistics' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Complementary Tools for JDLGF Pink Sheet analysis
When running JD Logistics' price analysis, check to measure JD Logistics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JD Logistics is operating at the current time. Most of JD Logistics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JD Logistics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JD Logistics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JD Logistics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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