JDLGF OTC Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 3.98

JDLGF -  USA Stock  

USD 3.98  0.01  0.25%

Jd Logistics' future price is the expected price of Jd Logistics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jd Logistics performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Please see Jd Logistics Backtesting, Jd Logistics Valuation, Jd Logistics Correlation, Jd Logistics Hype Analysis, Jd Logistics Volatility, Jd Logistics History as well as Jd Logistics Performance. Please specify Jd Logistics time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Jd Logistics odds to be computed.
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Jd Logistics Target Price Odds to finish over 3.98

The tendency of JDLGF OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.98 90 days 3.98  about 71.8
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jd Logistics to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 71.8 (This Jd Logistics probability density function shows the probability of JDLGF OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Jd Logistics has a beta of -2.21. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Jd Logistics are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Jd Logistics is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Jd Logistics is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Jd Logistics Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Jd Logistics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jd Logistics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jd Logistics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Jd Logistics in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.203.9811.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.183.6410.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.073.5310.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.244.405.56
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jd Logistics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jd Logistics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jd Logistics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Jd Logistics.

Jd Logistics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jd Logistics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jd Logistics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jd Logistics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jd Logistics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.82
β
Beta against DOW-2.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.52
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Jd Logistics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jd Logistics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jd Logistics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jd Logistics generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
Jd Logistics has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Bottom Fishing In China Not Safe - Yahoo Finance

Jd Logistics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of JDLGF OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jd Logistics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jd Logistics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day750
Average Daily Volume In Three Month750

Jd Logistics Technical Analysis

Jd Logistics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JDLGF OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jd Logistics. In general, you should focus on analyzing JDLGF OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jd Logistics Predictive Forecast Models

Jd Logistics time-series forecasting models is one of many Jd Logistics' otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Jd Logistics' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jd Logistics

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jd Logistics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jd Logistics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Jd Logistics Alerts

Jd Logistics Alerts and Suggestions

Jd Logistics generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
Jd Logistics has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Bottom Fishing In China Not Safe - Yahoo Finance
Please see Jd Logistics Backtesting, Jd Logistics Valuation, Jd Logistics Correlation, Jd Logistics Hype Analysis, Jd Logistics Volatility, Jd Logistics History as well as Jd Logistics Performance. Note that the Jd Logistics information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Jd Logistics' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

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When running Jd Logistics price analysis, check to measure Jd Logistics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jd Logistics is operating at the current time. Most of Jd Logistics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jd Logistics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jd Logistics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jd Logistics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Jd Logistics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JDLGF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jd Logistics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jd Logistics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jd Logistics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jd Logistics underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jd Logistics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Jd Logistics value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jd Logistics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.