Jura Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0625
| JEC Stock | CAD 0.04 0.00 0.00% |
Jura |
Jura Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0625
The tendency of Jura Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over C$ 0.06 or more in 90 days |
| 0.04 | 90 days | 0.06 | about 1.06 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jura Energy to move over C$ 0.06 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.06 (This Jura Energy probability density function shows the probability of Jura Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jura Energy price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.04 and C$ 0.06 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.77 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.89 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Jura Energy will likely underperform. Additionally Jura Energy has an alpha of 0.621, implying that it can generate a 0.62 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Jura Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jura Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jura Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jura Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Jura Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jura Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jura Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jura Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jura Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.62 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.89 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Jura Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jura Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jura Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jura Energy is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Jura Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Jura Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Jura Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has accumulated 4.3 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.14, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Jura Energy has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Jura Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Jura Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Jura Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Jura to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Jura Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 6.61 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.18 M. | |
| About 76.0% of Jura Energy shares are held by company insiders |
Jura Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jura Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jura Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jura Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 69.1 M |
Jura Energy Technical Analysis
Jura Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jura Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jura Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jura Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jura Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Jura Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jura Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jura Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jura Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jura Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jura Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jura Energy is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Jura Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Jura Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Jura Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has accumulated 4.3 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.14, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Jura Energy has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Jura Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Jura Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Jura Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Jura to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Jura Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 6.61 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.18 M. | |
| About 76.0% of Jura Energy shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Jura Energy Backtesting, Jura Energy Valuation, Jura Energy Correlation, Jura Energy Hype Analysis, Jura Energy Volatility, Jura Energy History as well as Jura Energy Performance. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Jura Stock analysis
When running Jura Energy's price analysis, check to measure Jura Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jura Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Jura Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jura Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jura Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jura Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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