JPMORGAN GLOBAL (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 404.04

JGGI
 Stock
  

GBp 404.04  5.96  1.45%   

JPMORGAN GLOBAL's future price is the expected price of JPMORGAN GLOBAL instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of JPMORGAN GLOBAL GROWTH performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please see JPMORGAN GLOBAL Backtesting, JPMORGAN GLOBAL Valuation, JPMORGAN GLOBAL Correlation, JPMORGAN GLOBAL Hype Analysis, JPMORGAN GLOBAL Volatility, JPMORGAN GLOBAL History as well as JPMORGAN GLOBAL Performance. Please specify JPMORGAN GLOBAL time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like JPMORGAN GLOBAL odds to be computed.

JPMORGAN GLOBAL Target Price Odds to finish over 404.04

The tendency of JPMORGAN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 404.04 90 days 404.04 
more than 93.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JPMORGAN GLOBAL to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This JPMORGAN GLOBAL GROWTH probability density function shows the probability of JPMORGAN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon JPMORGAN GLOBAL GROWTH has a beta of -0.17. This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding JPMORGAN GLOBAL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, JPMORGAN GLOBAL GROWTH is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0032, implying that it can generate a 0.003246 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   JPMORGAN GLOBAL Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for JPMORGAN GLOBAL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPMORGAN GLOBAL GROWTH. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of JPMORGAN GLOBAL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of JPMORGAN GLOBAL in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.000.001.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.000.001.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as JPMORGAN GLOBAL. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against JPMORGAN GLOBAL's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, JPMORGAN GLOBAL's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in JPMORGAN GLOBAL GROWTH.

JPMORGAN GLOBAL Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JPMORGAN GLOBAL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JPMORGAN GLOBAL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JPMORGAN GLOBAL GROWTH, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JPMORGAN GLOBAL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.003246
β
Beta against DOW-0.17
σ
Overall volatility
17.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

JPMORGAN GLOBAL Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of JPMORGAN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JPMORGAN GLOBAL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JPMORGAN GLOBAL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.13
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day181.84k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month243.07k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.03%

JPMORGAN GLOBAL Technical Analysis

JPMORGAN GLOBAL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JPMORGAN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JPMORGAN GLOBAL GROWTH. In general, you should focus on analyzing JPMORGAN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

JPMORGAN GLOBAL Predictive Forecast Models

JPMORGAN GLOBAL time-series forecasting models is one of many JPMORGAN GLOBAL's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary JPMORGAN GLOBAL's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards JPMORGAN GLOBAL in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, JPMORGAN GLOBAL's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from JPMORGAN GLOBAL options trading.
Please see JPMORGAN GLOBAL Backtesting, JPMORGAN GLOBAL Valuation, JPMORGAN GLOBAL Correlation, JPMORGAN GLOBAL Hype Analysis, JPMORGAN GLOBAL Volatility, JPMORGAN GLOBAL History as well as JPMORGAN GLOBAL Performance. You can also try My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running JPMORGAN GLOBAL GROWTH price analysis, check to measure JPMORGAN GLOBAL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JPMORGAN GLOBAL is operating at the current time. Most of JPMORGAN GLOBAL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JPMORGAN GLOBAL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JPMORGAN GLOBAL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JPMORGAN GLOBAL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between JPMORGAN GLOBAL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine JPMORGAN GLOBAL value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JPMORGAN GLOBAL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.