JPMORGAN Mutual Fund Odds of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 18.49

JMUEX Fund  USD 18.49  0.18  0.96%   
JPMORGAN's future price is the expected price of JPMORGAN instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of JPMORGAN US EQUITY performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please see JPMORGAN Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, JPMORGAN Correlation, JPMORGAN Hype Analysis, JPMORGAN Volatility, JPMORGAN History as well as JPMORGAN Performance. Please specify JPMORGAN time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like JPMORGAN odds to be computed.

JPMORGAN Target Price Odds to finish over 18.49

The tendency of JPMORGAN Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 18.49 90 days 18.49 
roughly 2.52
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JPMORGAN to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.52 (This JPMORGAN US EQUITY probability density function shows the probability of JPMORGAN Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.16 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, JPMORGAN will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. JPMORGAN US EQUITY is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   JPMORGAN Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for JPMORGAN

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPMORGAN US EQUITY. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of JPMORGAN's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of JPMORGAN in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
17.1618.4919.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
16.9718.3019.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
17.1118.4419.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.3318.0518.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as JPMORGAN. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against JPMORGAN's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, JPMORGAN's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in JPMORGAN US EQUITY.

JPMORGAN Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JPMORGAN is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JPMORGAN's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JPMORGAN US EQUITY, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JPMORGAN within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.46
Ir
Information ratio -0.0057

JPMORGAN Technical Analysis

JPMORGAN's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JPMORGAN Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JPMORGAN US EQUITY. In general, you should focus on analyzing JPMORGAN Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

JPMORGAN Predictive Forecast Models

JPMORGAN time-series forecasting models is one of many JPMORGAN's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary JPMORGAN's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards JPMORGAN in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, JPMORGAN's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from JPMORGAN options trading.
Please see JPMORGAN Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, JPMORGAN Correlation, JPMORGAN Hype Analysis, JPMORGAN Volatility, JPMORGAN History as well as JPMORGAN Performance. Note that the JPMORGAN US EQUITY information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other JPMORGAN's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try CEO Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

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When running JPMORGAN US EQUITY price analysis, check to measure JPMORGAN's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JPMORGAN is operating at the current time. Most of JPMORGAN's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JPMORGAN's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JPMORGAN's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JPMORGAN to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between JPMORGAN's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine JPMORGAN value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JPMORGAN's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.