Jpmorgan Smartretirement Blend Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 29.72

JOBBX Fund  USD 29.72  0.21  0.70%   
Jpmorgan Smartretirement's future price is the expected price of Jpmorgan Smartretirement instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jpmorgan Smartretirement Blend performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jpmorgan Smartretirement Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jpmorgan Smartretirement Correlation, Jpmorgan Smartretirement Hype Analysis, Jpmorgan Smartretirement Volatility, Jpmorgan Smartretirement History as well as Jpmorgan Smartretirement Performance.
  
Please specify Jpmorgan Smartretirement's target price for which you would like Jpmorgan Smartretirement odds to be computed.

Jpmorgan Smartretirement Target Price Odds to finish over 29.72

The tendency of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 29.72 90 days 29.72 
about 5.65
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jpmorgan Smartretirement to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.65 (This Jpmorgan Smartretirement Blend probability density function shows the probability of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Jpmorgan Smartretirement has a beta of 0.062. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Jpmorgan Smartretirement average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jpmorgan Smartretirement Blend will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Jpmorgan Smartretirement Blend has an alpha of 0.0894, implying that it can generate a 0.0894 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Jpmorgan Smartretirement Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jpmorgan Smartretirement

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jpmorgan Smartretirement. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jpmorgan Smartretirement's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.0429.7330.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.7929.4830.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28.8829.5630.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
29.6829.7629.83
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jpmorgan Smartretirement. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jpmorgan Smartretirement's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jpmorgan Smartretirement's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jpmorgan Smartretirement.

Jpmorgan Smartretirement Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jpmorgan Smartretirement is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jpmorgan Smartretirement's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jpmorgan Smartretirement Blend, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jpmorgan Smartretirement within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.09
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.65
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Jpmorgan Smartretirement Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jpmorgan Smartretirement for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jpmorgan Smartretirement can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
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The fund retains 82.08% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Jpmorgan Smartretirement Technical Analysis

Jpmorgan Smartretirement's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jpmorgan Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jpmorgan Smartretirement Blend. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jpmorgan Smartretirement Predictive Forecast Models

Jpmorgan Smartretirement's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jpmorgan Smartretirement's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jpmorgan Smartretirement's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jpmorgan Smartretirement

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jpmorgan Smartretirement for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jpmorgan Smartretirement help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
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The fund retains 82.08% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Check out Jpmorgan Smartretirement Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jpmorgan Smartretirement Correlation, Jpmorgan Smartretirement Hype Analysis, Jpmorgan Smartretirement Volatility, Jpmorgan Smartretirement History as well as Jpmorgan Smartretirement Performance.
Note that the Jpmorgan Smartretirement information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Jpmorgan Smartretirement's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Jpmorgan Mutual Fund analysis

When running Jpmorgan Smartretirement's price analysis, check to measure Jpmorgan Smartretirement's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jpmorgan Smartretirement is operating at the current time. Most of Jpmorgan Smartretirement's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jpmorgan Smartretirement's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jpmorgan Smartretirement's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jpmorgan Smartretirement to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Jpmorgan Smartretirement's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jpmorgan Smartretirement is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jpmorgan Smartretirement's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.