Jpmorgan Etf Odds of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 52.34
| JPHY Etf | USD 46.13 0.01 0.02% |
JPMorgan |
JPMorgan Target Price Odds to finish below 52.34
The tendency of JPMorgan Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 52.34 after 90 days |
| 46.13 | 90 days | 52.34 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JPMorgan to stay under $ 52.34 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This JPMorgan probability density function shows the probability of JPMorgan Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JPMorgan price to stay between its current price of $ 46.13 and $ 52.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.33 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days JPMorgan has a beta of -0.0593. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding JPMorgan are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, JPMorgan is likely to outperform the market. Additionally JPMorgan has an alpha of 0.0957, implying that it can generate a 0.0957 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). JPMorgan Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for JPMorgan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPMorgan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of JPMorgan's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
JPMorgan Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JPMorgan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JPMorgan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JPMorgan, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JPMorgan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.1 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.99 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
JPMorgan Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JPMorgan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JPMorgan can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| JPMorgan is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| The fund retains about 9.71% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
JPMorgan Technical Analysis
JPMorgan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JPMorgan Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JPMorgan. In general, you should focus on analyzing JPMorgan Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JPMorgan Predictive Forecast Models
JPMorgan's time-series forecasting models is one of many JPMorgan's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JPMorgan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about JPMorgan
Checking the ongoing alerts about JPMorgan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JPMorgan help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| JPMorgan is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| The fund retains about 9.71% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate. Note that the JPMorgan information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other JPMorgan's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
The market value of JPMorgan is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JPMorgan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JPMorgan's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JPMorgan's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JPMorgan's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JPMorgan's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JPMorgan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JPMorgan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JPMorgan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.