Jpmorgan Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 66.32

JPPEX -  USA Fund  

USD 66.32  0.25  0.38%

Jpmorgan Mid's future price is the expected price of Jpmorgan Mid instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jpmorgan Mid Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

Jpmorgan Price Probability 

 
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Please see Jpmorgan Mid Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jpmorgan Mid Correlation, Jpmorgan Mid Hype Analysis, Jpmorgan Mid Volatility, Jpmorgan Mid History as well as Jpmorgan Mid Performance. Please specify Jpmorgan Mid time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Jpmorgan Mid odds to be computed.
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Jpmorgan Mid Target Price Odds to finish over 66.32

The tendency of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 66.32 90 days 66.32  near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jpmorgan Mid to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Jpmorgan Mid Cap probability density function shows the probability of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Jpmorgan Mid Cap has a beta of -0.0294. This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Jpmorgan Mid are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Jpmorgan Mid Cap is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1184, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Jpmorgan Mid Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Jpmorgan Mid

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jpmorgan Mid Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jpmorgan Mid's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Jpmorgan Mid in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
65.5566.3267.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
64.4865.2572.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
66.8967.6668.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
62.0664.4366.80
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jpmorgan Mid. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jpmorgan Mid's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jpmorgan Mid's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Jpmorgan Mid Cap.

Jpmorgan Mid Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jpmorgan Mid is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jpmorgan Mid's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jpmorgan Mid Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jpmorgan Mid within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.12
β
Beta against DOW-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.91
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Jpmorgan Mid Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jpmorgan Mid for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jpmorgan Mid Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jpmorgan Mid Cap is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund retains 97.12% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Jpmorgan Mid Technical Analysis

Jpmorgan Mid's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jpmorgan Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jpmorgan Mid Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jpmorgan Mid Predictive Forecast Models

Jpmorgan Mid time-series forecasting models is one of many Jpmorgan Mid's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Jpmorgan Mid's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jpmorgan Mid Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jpmorgan Mid for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jpmorgan Mid Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Jpmorgan Mid Alerts

Jpmorgan Mid Alerts and Suggestions

Jpmorgan Mid Cap is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund retains 97.12% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Please see Jpmorgan Mid Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jpmorgan Mid Correlation, Jpmorgan Mid Hype Analysis, Jpmorgan Mid Volatility, Jpmorgan Mid History as well as Jpmorgan Mid Performance. Note that the Jpmorgan Mid Cap information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Jpmorgan Mid's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for Jpmorgan Mutual Fund analysis

When running Jpmorgan Mid Cap price analysis, check to measure Jpmorgan Mid's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jpmorgan Mid is operating at the current time. Most of Jpmorgan Mid's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jpmorgan Mid's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jpmorgan Mid's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jpmorgan Mid to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Jpmorgan Mid's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Jpmorgan Mid value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jpmorgan Mid's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.