JPM Dvsd Etf Odds of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 42.48

JPSE -  USA Etf  

USD 42.48  0.85  1.96%

JPM Dvsd's future price is the expected price of JPM Dvsd instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of JPM Dvsd Rtns performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Please see JPM Dvsd Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, JPM Dvsd Correlation, JPM Dvsd Hype Analysis, JPM Dvsd Volatility, JPM Dvsd History as well as JPM Dvsd Performance. Please specify JPM Dvsd time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like JPM Dvsd odds to be computed.
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JPM Dvsd Target Price Odds to finish over 42.48

The tendency of JPM Dvsd Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 42.48 90 days 42.48  more than 93.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JPM Dvsd to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This JPM Dvsd Rtns probability density function shows the probability of JPM Dvsd Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.38 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, JPM Dvsd will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. JPM Dvsd Rtns is significantly underperforming DOW.
 JPM Dvsd Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for JPM Dvsd

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPM Dvsd Rtns. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of JPM Dvsd's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of JPM Dvsd in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
41.3742.4843.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
41.5342.6443.75
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as JPM Dvsd. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against JPM Dvsd's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, JPM Dvsd's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in JPM Dvsd Rtns.

JPM Dvsd Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JPM Dvsd is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JPM Dvsd's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JPM Dvsd Rtns, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JPM Dvsd within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.08
β
Beta against DOW1.38
σ
Overall volatility
0.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

JPM Dvsd Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JPM Dvsd for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JPM Dvsd Rtns can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
JPM Dvsd Rtns generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains 99.81% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

JPM Dvsd Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of JPM Dvsd Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JPM Dvsd's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JPM Dvsd's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day10.79k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month13.51k

JPM Dvsd Technical Analysis

JPM Dvsd's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JPM Dvsd Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JPM Dvsd Rtns. In general, you should focus on analyzing JPM Dvsd Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

JPM Dvsd Predictive Forecast Models

JPM Dvsd time-series forecasting models is one of many JPM Dvsd's etf analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary JPM Dvsd's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about JPM Dvsd Rtns

Checking the ongoing alerts about JPM Dvsd for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JPM Dvsd Rtns help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

JPM Dvsd Alerts

JPM Dvsd Alerts and Suggestions

JPM Dvsd Rtns generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains 99.81% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Please see JPM Dvsd Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, JPM Dvsd Correlation, JPM Dvsd Hype Analysis, JPM Dvsd Volatility, JPM Dvsd History as well as JPM Dvsd Performance. Note that the JPM Dvsd Rtns information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other JPM Dvsd's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

Complementary Tools for JPM Dvsd Etf analysis

When running JPM Dvsd Rtns price analysis, check to measure JPM Dvsd's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JPM Dvsd is operating at the current time. Most of JPM Dvsd's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JPM Dvsd's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JPM Dvsd's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JPM Dvsd to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of JPM Dvsd Rtns is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JPM Dvsd that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JPM Dvsd's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JPM Dvsd's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JPM Dvsd's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JPM Dvsd Rtns underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JPM Dvsd's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine JPM Dvsd value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JPM Dvsd's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.