James Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 33.01

JRVR -  USA Stock  

USD 33.01  1.06  3.11%

James River's future price is the expected price of James River instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of James River Gp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. James River Price to Book Value is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. James River reported last year Price to Book Value of 1.89. As of 09/20/2021, Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 331.44, while Price to Sales Ratio is likely to drop 2.16.

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Please see James River Backtesting, James River Valuation, James River Correlation, James River Hype Analysis, James River Volatility, James River History as well as James River Performance. Please specify James River time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like James River odds to be computed.
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James River Target Price Odds to finish over 33.01

The tendency of James Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 33.01 90 days 33.01  close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of James River to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This James River Gp probability density function shows the probability of James Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days James River has a beta of 0.81. This indicates as returns on the market go up, James River average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding James River Gp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. James River Gp is significantly underperforming DOW.
 James River Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for James River

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as James River Gp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of James River's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of James River in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
32.5834.0835.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
30.6642.4943.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
32.2133.7035.20
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
45.0050.0056.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as James River. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against James River's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, James River's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in James River Gp.

James River Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. James River is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the James River's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold James River Gp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of James River within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.1
β
Beta against DOW0.81
σ
Overall volatility
1.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

James River Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of James River for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for James River Gp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
James River Gp generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 746.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (76.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 190.14 M.
James River Gp currently holds about 400.59 M in cash with (230.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.75.
Latest headline from www.nytimes.com: Some Asked, Does Chattanooga Need a Lynching Memorial - The New York Times

James River Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of James Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential James River's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. James River's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.69%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.20
Short Percent Of Float3.15%
Float Shares36.29M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day184.81k
Shares Short Prior Month1.33M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month220.84k
Date Short Interest31st of August 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3.58%

James River Technical Analysis

James River's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. James Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of James River Gp. In general, you should focus on analyzing James Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

James River Predictive Forecast Models

James River time-series forecasting models is one of many James River's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary James River's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about James River Gp

Checking the ongoing alerts about James River for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for James River Gp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

James River Alerts

James River Alerts and Suggestions

James River Gp generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 746.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (76.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 190.14 M.
James River Gp currently holds about 400.59 M in cash with (230.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.75.
Latest headline from www.nytimes.com: Some Asked, Does Chattanooga Need a Lynching Memorial - The New York Times
Please see James River Backtesting, James River Valuation, James River Correlation, James River Hype Analysis, James River Volatility, James River History as well as James River Performance. Note that the James River Gp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other James River's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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When running James River Gp price analysis, check to measure James River's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy James River is operating at the current time. Most of James River's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of James River's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move James River's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of James River to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of James River Gp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of James that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of James River's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is James River's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because James River's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect James River Gp underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between James River's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine James River value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, James River's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.