Jpmorgan Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 50.26

JSCP -  USA Etf  

USD 50.26  0.01  0.0199%

Jpmorgan Short's future price is the expected price of Jpmorgan Short instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jpmorgan Short Duration performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Please see Risk vs Return Analysis.Please specify Jpmorgan Short time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Jpmorgan Short odds to be computed.
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Jpmorgan Short Target Price Odds to finish over 50.26

The tendency of Jpmorgan Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 50.26 90 days 50.26  about 41.26
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jpmorgan Short to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 41.26 (This Jpmorgan Short Duration probability density function shows the probability of Jpmorgan Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Jpmorgan Short Duration has a beta of -0.0056. This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Jpmorgan Short are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Jpmorgan Short Duration is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Jpmorgan Short Duration is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Jpmorgan Short Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Jpmorgan Short

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jpmorgan Short Duration. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jpmorgan Short's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Jpmorgan Short in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
50.2150.2650.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
49.9550.0055.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
50.1550.2050.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
50.1750.2650.35
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jpmorgan Short. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jpmorgan Short's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jpmorgan Short's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Jpmorgan Short Duration.

Jpmorgan Short Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jpmorgan Short is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jpmorgan Short's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jpmorgan Short Duration, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jpmorgan Short within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.0089
β
Beta against DOW-0.0056
σ
Overall volatility
0.045277
Ir
Information ratio -0.75

Jpmorgan Short Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jpmorgan Short for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jpmorgan Short Duration can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jpmorgan Short is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Jpmorgan Short generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
Jpmorgan Short has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years

Jpmorgan Short Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jpmorgan Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jpmorgan Short's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jpmorgan Short's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.2k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.2k

Jpmorgan Short Technical Analysis

Jpmorgan Short's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jpmorgan Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jpmorgan Short Duration. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jpmorgan Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jpmorgan Short Predictive Forecast Models

Jpmorgan Short time-series forecasting models is one of many Jpmorgan Short's etf analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Jpmorgan Short's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jpmorgan Short Duration

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jpmorgan Short for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jpmorgan Short Duration help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Jpmorgan Short Alerts

Jpmorgan Short Alerts and Suggestions

Jpmorgan Short is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Jpmorgan Short generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
Jpmorgan Short has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Please see Risk vs Return Analysis. Note that the Jpmorgan Short Duration information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Jpmorgan Short's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

Complementary Tools for Jpmorgan Etf analysis

When running Jpmorgan Short Duration price analysis, check to measure Jpmorgan Short's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jpmorgan Short is operating at the current time. Most of Jpmorgan Short's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jpmorgan Short's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jpmorgan Short's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jpmorgan Short to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Jpmorgan Short Duration is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jpmorgan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jpmorgan Short's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jpmorgan Short's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jpmorgan Short's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jpmorgan Short Duration underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jpmorgan Short's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Jpmorgan Short value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jpmorgan Short's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.