Jpmorgan International Equity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 17.94
| JSEAX Fund | USD 17.94 0.04 0.22% |
JPMORGAN |
Jpmorgan International Target Price Odds to finish over 17.94
The tendency of JPMORGAN Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 17.94 | 90 days | 17.94 | about 5.29 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jpmorgan International to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.29 (This Jpmorgan International Equity probability density function shows the probability of JPMORGAN Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Jpmorgan International has a beta of 0.86. This indicates Jpmorgan International Equity market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Jpmorgan International is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0238, implying that it can generate a 0.0238 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Jpmorgan International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jpmorgan International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jpmorgan International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jpmorgan International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Jpmorgan International in the context of predictive analytics.
Jpmorgan International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jpmorgan International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jpmorgan International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jpmorgan International Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jpmorgan International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.023817 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.86 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.0314 |
Jpmorgan International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jpmorgan International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jpmorgan International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jpmorgan International is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The fund retains 97.77% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Jpmorgan International Technical Analysis
Jpmorgan International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JPMORGAN Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jpmorgan International Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing JPMORGAN Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Jpmorgan International Predictive Forecast Models
Jpmorgan International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jpmorgan International's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jpmorgan International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jpmorgan International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jpmorgan International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jpmorgan International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jpmorgan International is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The fund retains 97.77% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out Jpmorgan International Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jpmorgan International Correlation, Jpmorgan International Hype Analysis, Jpmorgan International Volatility, Jpmorgan International History as well as Jpmorgan International Performance. Note that the Jpmorgan International information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Jpmorgan International's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Complementary Tools for JPMORGAN Mutual Fund analysis
When running Jpmorgan International's price analysis, check to measure Jpmorgan International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jpmorgan International is operating at the current time. Most of Jpmorgan International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jpmorgan International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jpmorgan International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jpmorgan International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio Comparator Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account | |
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios | |
| Companies Directory Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals | |
| Portfolio Center All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios | |
| Bollinger Bands Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon | |
| Pattern Recognition Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges | |
| Insider Screener Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance | |
| Global Correlations Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets | |
| Portfolio Anywhere Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
| Portfolio Rebalancing Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets |