Jpmorgan International Equity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 20.32

JSEAX Fund  USD 19.80  0.11  0.55%   
Jpmorgan International's future price is the expected price of Jpmorgan International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jpmorgan International Equity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jpmorgan International Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jpmorgan International Correlation, Jpmorgan International Hype Analysis, Jpmorgan International Volatility, Jpmorgan International History as well as Jpmorgan International Performance.
  
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Jpmorgan International Target Price Odds to finish over 20.32

The tendency of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 20.32  or more in 90 days
 19.80 90 days 20.32 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jpmorgan International to move over $ 20.32  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Jpmorgan International Equity probability density function shows the probability of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jpmorgan International price to stay between its current price of $ 19.80  and $ 20.32  at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.32 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Jpmorgan International has a beta of 0.61. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Jpmorgan International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jpmorgan International Equity will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Jpmorgan International Equity has an alpha of 0.01, implying that it can generate a 0.01 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Jpmorgan International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jpmorgan International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jpmorgan International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jpmorgan International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.0919.8020.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.0619.7720.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.9719.6820.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.6820.0420.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jpmorgan International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jpmorgan International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jpmorgan International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jpmorgan International.

Jpmorgan International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jpmorgan International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jpmorgan International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jpmorgan International Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jpmorgan International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.61
σ
Overall volatility
0.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Jpmorgan International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jpmorgan International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jpmorgan International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 97.77% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Jpmorgan International Technical Analysis

Jpmorgan International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jpmorgan Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jpmorgan International Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jpmorgan International Predictive Forecast Models

Jpmorgan International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jpmorgan International's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jpmorgan International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jpmorgan International

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jpmorgan International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jpmorgan International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 97.77% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Jpmorgan Mutual Fund

Jpmorgan International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jpmorgan Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jpmorgan with respect to the benefits of owning Jpmorgan International security.
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