Jpmorgan Strategic Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.27
| JSOCX Fund | USD 11.38 0.01 0.09% |
Jpmorgan |
Jpmorgan Strategic Target Price Odds to finish below 11.27
The tendency of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.27 or more in 90 days |
| 11.38 | 90 days | 11.27 | about 31.8 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jpmorgan Strategic to drop to $ 11.27 or more in 90 days from now is about 31.8 (This Jpmorgan Strategic Income probability density function shows the probability of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jpmorgan Strategic price to stay between $ 11.27 and its current price of $11.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Jpmorgan Strategic Income has a beta of -0.026. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Jpmorgan Strategic are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Jpmorgan Strategic Income is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jpmorgan Strategic Income has an alpha of 0.0148, implying that it can generate a 0.0148 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Jpmorgan Strategic Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jpmorgan Strategic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jpmorgan Strategic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jpmorgan Strategic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Jpmorgan Strategic Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jpmorgan Strategic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jpmorgan Strategic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jpmorgan Strategic Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jpmorgan Strategic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.85 |
Jpmorgan Strategic Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jpmorgan Strategic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jpmorgan Strategic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains about 75.27% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Jpmorgan Strategic Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jpmorgan Strategic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jpmorgan Strategic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Jpmorgan Strategic Technical Analysis
Jpmorgan Strategic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jpmorgan Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jpmorgan Strategic Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jpmorgan Strategic Predictive Forecast Models
Jpmorgan Strategic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jpmorgan Strategic's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jpmorgan Strategic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jpmorgan Strategic
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jpmorgan Strategic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jpmorgan Strategic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund retains about 75.27% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Check out Jpmorgan Strategic Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jpmorgan Strategic Correlation, Jpmorgan Strategic Hype Analysis, Jpmorgan Strategic Volatility, Jpmorgan Strategic History as well as Jpmorgan Strategic Performance. Note that the Jpmorgan Strategic information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Jpmorgan Strategic's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.