Invesco Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 17.45

KBWD Etf  USD 17.45  0.18  1.02%   
Invesco KBW's future price is the expected price of Invesco KBW instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Invesco KBW High performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Invesco KBW's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Invesco KBW High. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Invesco KBW based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Invesco KBW High over a specific time period. For example, 2023-02-17 CALL at $16.0 is a CALL option contract on Invesco KBW's common stock with a strick price of 16.0 expiring on 2023-02-17. The contract was last traded on 2023-02-02 at 15:49:00 for $1.55 and, as of today, has 11 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.5, and an ask price of $2.55. The implied volatility as of the 6th of February is 41.3321. View All Invesco options

Closest to current price Invesco long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please see Invesco KBW Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco KBW Correlation, Invesco KBW Hype Analysis, Invesco KBW Volatility, Invesco KBW History as well as Invesco KBW Performance. Please specify Invesco KBW time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Invesco KBW odds to be computed.

Invesco KBW Target Price Odds to finish over 17.45

The tendency of Invesco Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 17.45 90 days 17.45 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco KBW to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Invesco KBW High probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.07 . This indicates Invesco KBW High market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Invesco KBW is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1005, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Invesco KBW Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco KBW

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco KBW High. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco KBW's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Invesco KBW in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
16.0817.4418.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
16.9318.2919.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
15.8517.2118.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.9716.4417.92
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Invesco KBW. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Invesco KBW's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Invesco KBW's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Invesco KBW High.

Invesco KBW Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco KBW is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco KBW's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco KBW High, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco KBW within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.10
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.72
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Invesco KBW Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Invesco Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Invesco KBW's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Invesco KBW's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day79.5k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month139.61k

Invesco KBW Technical Analysis

Invesco KBW's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco KBW High. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Invesco KBW Predictive Forecast Models

Invesco KBW time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco KBW's etf analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Invesco KBW's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Invesco KBW in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Invesco KBW's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Invesco KBW options trading.
Please see Invesco KBW Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco KBW Correlation, Invesco KBW Hype Analysis, Invesco KBW Volatility, Invesco KBW History as well as Invesco KBW Performance. You can also try Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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When running Invesco KBW High price analysis, check to measure Invesco KBW's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Invesco KBW is operating at the current time. Most of Invesco KBW's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Invesco KBW's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Invesco KBW's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Invesco KBW to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Invesco KBW High is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Invesco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Invesco KBW's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Invesco KBW's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Invesco KBW's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Invesco KBW's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco KBW's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Invesco KBW value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco KBW's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.