Kyndryl Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.10

KD Stock  USD 15.10  0.06  0.40%   
Kyndryl Holdings' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Kyndryl Holdings. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Kyndryl Holdings based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Kyndryl Holdings over a specific time period. For example, 2023-10-20 CALL at $15.0 is a CALL option contract on Kyndryl Holdings' common stock with a strick price of 15.0 expiring on 2023-10-20. The contract was last traded on 2023-09-28 at 12:00:08 for $0.68 and, as of today, has 21 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.65, and an ask price of $0.8. The implied volatility as of the 30th of September is 39.65. View All Kyndryl options

Closest to current price Kyndryl long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Kyndryl Holdings' future price is the expected price of Kyndryl Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kyndryl Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kyndryl Holdings Backtesting, Kyndryl Holdings Valuation, Kyndryl Holdings Correlation, Kyndryl Holdings Hype Analysis, Kyndryl Holdings Volatility, Kyndryl Holdings History as well as Kyndryl Holdings Performance. For information on how to trade Kyndryl Stock refer to our How to Trade Kyndryl Stock guide.Please specify Kyndryl Holdings time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Kyndryl Holdings odds to be computed.
  
The current year's Price to Sales Ratio is expected to grow to 0.22, whereas Price to Book Value is forecasted to decline to 2.07.

Kyndryl Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 15.10

The tendency of Kyndryl Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.10 90 days 15.10 
about 39.39
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kyndryl Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 39.39 (This Kyndryl Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Kyndryl Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Kyndryl Holdings has a beta of -0.0376. This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Kyndryl Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Kyndryl Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.2917, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kyndryl Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kyndryl Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kyndryl Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kyndryl Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Kyndryl Holdings in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.6415.0318.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.3415.7319.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.9415.3318.72
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.0019.0022.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kyndryl Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kyndryl Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kyndryl Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kyndryl Holdings.

Kyndryl Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kyndryl Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kyndryl Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kyndryl Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kyndryl Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.29
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
1.56
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Kyndryl Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kyndryl Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kyndryl Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kyndryl Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Kyndryl Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company generated the yearly revenue of 17.03 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (1.37 B) with gross profit of 2.09 B.
Kyndryl Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Kyndryl BPER Banca Group and Kyndryl to Collaborate on Mission ... - Marketscreener.com

Kyndryl Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kyndryl Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kyndryl Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kyndryl Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding226.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.8 B

Kyndryl Holdings Technical Analysis

Kyndryl Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kyndryl Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kyndryl Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kyndryl Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kyndryl Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Kyndryl Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Kyndryl Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kyndryl Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kyndryl Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kyndryl Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kyndryl Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kyndryl Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Kyndryl Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company generated the yearly revenue of 17.03 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (1.37 B) with gross profit of 2.09 B.
Kyndryl Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Kyndryl BPER Banca Group and Kyndryl to Collaborate on Mission ... - Marketscreener.com
Check out Kyndryl Holdings Backtesting, Kyndryl Holdings Valuation, Kyndryl Holdings Correlation, Kyndryl Holdings Hype Analysis, Kyndryl Holdings Volatility, Kyndryl Holdings History as well as Kyndryl Holdings Performance. For information on how to trade Kyndryl Stock refer to our How to Trade Kyndryl Stock guide. Note that the Kyndryl Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Kyndryl Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

Complementary Tools for Kyndryl Stock analysis

When running Kyndryl Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Kyndryl Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kyndryl Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Kyndryl Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kyndryl Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kyndryl Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kyndryl Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Kyndryl Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kyndryl Holdings. If investors know Kyndryl will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kyndryl Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(5.74)
Revenue Per Share
74.471
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.022)
Return On Assets
(0.0225)
Return On Equity
(0.71)
The market value of Kyndryl Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kyndryl that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kyndryl Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kyndryl Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kyndryl Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kyndryl Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kyndryl Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kyndryl Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kyndryl Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.