Kesselrun Resources Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.05
| KES Stock | CAD 0.06 0.01 20.00% |
Kesselrun |
Kesselrun Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 0.05
The tendency of Kesselrun Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 0.05 or more in 90 days |
| 0.06 | 90 days | 0.05 | about 81.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kesselrun Resources to drop to C$ 0.05 or more in 90 days from now is about 81.69 (This Kesselrun Resources probability density function shows the probability of Kesselrun Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kesselrun Resources price to stay between C$ 0.05 and its current price of C$0.06 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.74 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.21 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Kesselrun Resources will likely underperform. Moreover Kesselrun Resources has an alpha of 1.1697, implying that it can generate a 1.17 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kesselrun Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kesselrun Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kesselrun Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kesselrun Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kesselrun Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kesselrun Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kesselrun Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kesselrun Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kesselrun Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 1.17 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Kesselrun Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kesselrun Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kesselrun Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kesselrun Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Kesselrun Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Kesselrun Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Net Loss for the year was (567.35 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (5.58 K). | |
| Kesselrun Resources has accumulated about 5.72 M in cash with (226.92 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Kesselrun Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kesselrun Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kesselrun Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kesselrun Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 93.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 730.4 K |
Kesselrun Resources Technical Analysis
Kesselrun Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kesselrun Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kesselrun Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kesselrun Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kesselrun Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Kesselrun Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Kesselrun Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kesselrun Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kesselrun Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kesselrun Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kesselrun Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kesselrun Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Kesselrun Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Kesselrun Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Net Loss for the year was (567.35 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (5.58 K). | |
| Kesselrun Resources has accumulated about 5.72 M in cash with (226.92 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Kesselrun Resources Backtesting, Kesselrun Resources Valuation, Kesselrun Resources Correlation, Kesselrun Resources Hype Analysis, Kesselrun Resources Volatility, Kesselrun Resources History as well as Kesselrun Resources Performance. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Complementary Tools for Kesselrun Stock analysis
When running Kesselrun Resources' price analysis, check to measure Kesselrun Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kesselrun Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Kesselrun Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kesselrun Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kesselrun Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kesselrun Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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