Kroger Company Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 59.96
| KR Stock | USD 50.52 0.35 0.70% |
Closest to current price Kroger long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Kroger |
Kroger Target Price Odds to finish over 59.96
The tendency of Kroger Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 59.96 or more in 90 days |
| 50.52 | 90 days | 59.96 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kroger to move over $ 59.96 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Kroger Company probability density function shows the probability of Kroger Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kroger Company price to stay between its current price of $ 50.52 and $ 59.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 99.0 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Kroger has a beta of 0.14. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kroger average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kroger Company will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kroger Company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Kroger Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Kroger
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kroger Company. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kroger's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kroger Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kroger is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kroger's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kroger Company, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kroger within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Kroger Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kroger for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kroger Company can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kroger Company generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kroger Company reports 19.25 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.11, which may imply that the company relies heavily on debt financing. Kroger Company has a current ratio of 0.71, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Kroger to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Kroger Company has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 77.0% of Kroger shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from aol.com: Kroger giving away free ice cream to kick off summer |
Kroger Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kroger Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kroger's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kroger's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 725 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.1 B |
Kroger Technical Analysis
Kroger's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kroger Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kroger Company. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kroger Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kroger Predictive Forecast Models
Kroger's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kroger's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kroger's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kroger Company
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kroger for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kroger Company help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kroger Company generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kroger Company reports 19.25 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.11, which may imply that the company relies heavily on debt financing. Kroger Company has a current ratio of 0.71, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Kroger to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Kroger Company has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 77.0% of Kroger shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from aol.com: Kroger giving away free ice cream to kick off summer |
Additional Tools for Kroger Stock Analysis
When running Kroger's price analysis, check to measure Kroger's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kroger is operating at the current time. Most of Kroger's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kroger's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kroger's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kroger to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.