KSM Mutual (Israel) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 33060.0

KSM-F133  ILA 47,370  870.00  1.87%   
KSM Mutual's future price is the expected price of KSM Mutual instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of KSM Mutual Funds performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out KSM Mutual Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, KSM Mutual Correlation, KSM Mutual Hype Analysis, KSM Mutual Volatility, KSM Mutual History as well as KSM Mutual Performance.
  
Please specify KSM Mutual's target price for which you would like KSM Mutual odds to be computed.

KSM Mutual Target Price Odds to finish below 33060.0

The tendency of KSM Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  33,060  or more in 90 days
 47,370 90 days 33,060 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KSM Mutual to drop to  33,060  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This KSM Mutual Funds probability density function shows the probability of KSM Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KSM Mutual Funds price to stay between  33,060  and its current price of 47370.0 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KSM Mutual has a beta of 0.18. This indicates as returns on the market go up, KSM Mutual average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KSM Mutual Funds will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KSM Mutual Funds has an alpha of 0.1745, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   KSM Mutual Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for KSM Mutual

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KSM Mutual Funds. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of KSM Mutual's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
46,62746,62846,629
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
45,44346,00246,561
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as KSM Mutual. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against KSM Mutual's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, KSM Mutual's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in KSM Mutual Funds.

KSM Mutual Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KSM Mutual is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KSM Mutual's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KSM Mutual Funds, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KSM Mutual within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.17
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.18
σ
Overall volatility
1,502
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

KSM Mutual Technical Analysis

KSM Mutual's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KSM Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KSM Mutual Funds. In general, you should focus on analyzing KSM Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

KSM Mutual Predictive Forecast Models

KSM Mutual's time-series forecasting models is one of many KSM Mutual's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KSM Mutual's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards KSM Mutual in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, KSM Mutual's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from KSM Mutual options trading.
Check out KSM Mutual Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, KSM Mutual Correlation, KSM Mutual Hype Analysis, KSM Mutual Volatility, KSM Mutual History as well as KSM Mutual Performance.
Note that the KSM Mutual Funds information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other KSM Mutual's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

Complementary Tools for KSM Etf analysis

When running KSM Mutual's price analysis, check to measure KSM Mutual's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy KSM Mutual is operating at the current time. Most of KSM Mutual's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of KSM Mutual's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move KSM Mutual's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of KSM Mutual to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Odds Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Please note, there is a significant difference between KSM Mutual's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KSM Mutual is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KSM Mutual's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.