KSM Mutual (Israel) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 5872.0

KSM-F169  ILA 6,766  36.00  0.53%   
KSM Mutual's future price is the expected price of KSM Mutual instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of KSM Mutual Funds performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out KSM Mutual Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, KSM Mutual Correlation, KSM Mutual Hype Analysis, KSM Mutual Volatility, KSM Mutual History as well as KSM Mutual Performance.
  
Please specify KSM Mutual's target price for which you would like KSM Mutual odds to be computed.

KSM Mutual Target Price Odds to finish over 5872.0

The tendency of KSM Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  5,872  in 90 days
 6,766 90 days 5,872 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KSM Mutual to stay above  5,872  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This KSM Mutual Funds probability density function shows the probability of KSM Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KSM Mutual Funds price to stay between  5,872  and its current price of 6766.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KSM Mutual Funds has a beta of -0.0303. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding KSM Mutual are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, KSM Mutual Funds is likely to outperform the market. Additionally KSM Mutual Funds has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   KSM Mutual Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for KSM Mutual

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KSM Mutual Funds. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of KSM Mutual's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6,7656,7666,767
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6,7656,7666,767
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as KSM Mutual. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against KSM Mutual's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, KSM Mutual's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in KSM Mutual Funds.

KSM Mutual Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KSM Mutual is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KSM Mutual's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KSM Mutual Funds, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KSM Mutual within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.06
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
170.71
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

KSM Mutual Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KSM Mutual for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KSM Mutual Funds can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KSM Mutual Funds generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

KSM Mutual Technical Analysis

KSM Mutual's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KSM Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KSM Mutual Funds. In general, you should focus on analyzing KSM Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

KSM Mutual Predictive Forecast Models

KSM Mutual's time-series forecasting models is one of many KSM Mutual's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KSM Mutual's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about KSM Mutual Funds

Checking the ongoing alerts about KSM Mutual for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KSM Mutual Funds help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KSM Mutual Funds generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Check out KSM Mutual Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, KSM Mutual Correlation, KSM Mutual Hype Analysis, KSM Mutual Volatility, KSM Mutual History as well as KSM Mutual Performance.
Note that the KSM Mutual Funds information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other KSM Mutual's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Please note, there is a significant difference between KSM Mutual's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KSM Mutual is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KSM Mutual's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.