Quaker Chemical Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 189.92

KWR Stock  USD 189.92  1.42  0.74%   
Quaker Chemical's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Quaker Chemical. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Quaker Chemical based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Quaker Chemical over a specific time period. For example, 2024-05-17 CALL at $190.0 is a CALL option contract on Quaker Chemical's common stock with a strick price of 190.0 expiring on 2024-05-17. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 23 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $7.1, and an ask price of $10.9. The implied volatility as of the 25th of April is 40.99. View All Quaker options

Closest to current price Quaker long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Quaker Chemical's future price is the expected price of Quaker Chemical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Quaker Chemical performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Quaker Chemical Backtesting, Quaker Chemical Valuation, Quaker Chemical Correlation, Quaker Chemical Hype Analysis, Quaker Chemical Volatility, Quaker Chemical History as well as Quaker Chemical Performance.
To learn how to invest in Quaker Stock, please use our How to Invest in Quaker Chemical guide.
  
At this time, Quaker Chemical's Price To Sales Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 04/25/2024, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 35.61, while Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to drop (0.05). Please specify Quaker Chemical's target price for which you would like Quaker Chemical odds to be computed.

Quaker Chemical Target Price Odds to finish over 189.92

The tendency of Quaker Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 189.92 90 days 189.92 
more than 93.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Quaker Chemical to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Quaker Chemical probability density function shows the probability of Quaker Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.55 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Quaker Chemical will likely underperform. Additionally Quaker Chemical has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Quaker Chemical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Quaker Chemical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Quaker Chemical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Quaker Chemical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
188.36189.84191.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
170.93212.59214.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
185.56187.04188.51
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
210.67231.50256.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Quaker Chemical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Quaker Chemical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Quaker Chemical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Quaker Chemical.

Quaker Chemical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Quaker Chemical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Quaker Chemical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Quaker Chemical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Quaker Chemical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.16
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.55
σ
Overall volatility
4.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Quaker Chemical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Quaker Chemical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Quaker Chemical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Quaker Chemical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Quaker Chemical has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Quaker Houghton Releases its 2023 Sustainability Report

Quaker Chemical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Quaker Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Quaker Chemical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Quaker Chemical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments194.5 M

Quaker Chemical Technical Analysis

Quaker Chemical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Quaker Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Quaker Chemical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Quaker Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Quaker Chemical Predictive Forecast Models

Quaker Chemical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Quaker Chemical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Quaker Chemical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Quaker Chemical

Checking the ongoing alerts about Quaker Chemical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Quaker Chemical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Quaker Chemical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Quaker Chemical has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Quaker Houghton Releases its 2023 Sustainability Report
When determining whether Quaker Chemical is a strong investment it is important to analyze Quaker Chemical's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Quaker Chemical's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Quaker Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Quaker Chemical Backtesting, Quaker Chemical Valuation, Quaker Chemical Correlation, Quaker Chemical Hype Analysis, Quaker Chemical Volatility, Quaker Chemical History as well as Quaker Chemical Performance.
To learn how to invest in Quaker Stock, please use our How to Invest in Quaker Chemical guide.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for Quaker Stock analysis

When running Quaker Chemical's price analysis, check to measure Quaker Chemical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Quaker Chemical is operating at the current time. Most of Quaker Chemical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Quaker Chemical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Quaker Chemical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Quaker Chemical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Quaker Chemical's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Quaker Chemical. If investors know Quaker will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Quaker Chemical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.299
Dividend Share
1.78
Earnings Share
6.26
Revenue Per Share
109.17
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
The market value of Quaker Chemical is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Quaker that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Quaker Chemical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Quaker Chemical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Quaker Chemical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Quaker Chemical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Quaker Chemical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Quaker Chemical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Quaker Chemical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.