Kaixin Auto Holdings Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.0038

KXINWDelisted Stock  USD 0  0.0008  26.67%   
Kaixin Auto's future price is the expected price of Kaixin Auto instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kaixin Auto Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
Please specify Kaixin Auto's target price for which you would like Kaixin Auto odds to be computed.

Kaixin Auto Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0038

The tendency of Kaixin Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0 90 days 0 
about 83.61
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kaixin Auto to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 83.61 (This Kaixin Auto Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Kaixin Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.62 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Kaixin Auto will likely underperform. In addition to that Kaixin Auto Holdings has an alpha of 28.8845, implying that it can generate a 28.88 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kaixin Auto Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kaixin Auto

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kaixin Auto Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kaixin Auto's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.00050.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.00050.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kaixin Auto. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kaixin Auto's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kaixin Auto's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kaixin Auto Holdings.

Kaixin Auto Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kaixin Auto is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kaixin Auto's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kaixin Auto Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kaixin Auto within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
28.88
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.62
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.26

Kaixin Auto Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kaixin Auto for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kaixin Auto Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kaixin Auto Holdings is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Kaixin Auto Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Kaixin Auto Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Kaixin Auto Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Kaixin Auto Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years

Kaixin Auto Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kaixin Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kaixin Auto's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kaixin Auto's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding170.5 M
Short Long Term Debt6.3 M

Kaixin Auto Technical Analysis

Kaixin Auto's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kaixin Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kaixin Auto Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kaixin Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kaixin Auto Predictive Forecast Models

Kaixin Auto's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kaixin Auto's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kaixin Auto's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kaixin Auto Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kaixin Auto for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kaixin Auto Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kaixin Auto Holdings is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Kaixin Auto Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Kaixin Auto Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Kaixin Auto Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Kaixin Auto Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

Other Consideration for investing in Kaixin Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Kaixin Auto Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Kaixin Auto's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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