Gladstone Land Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 22.89

LAND Stock  USD 13.34  0.27  2.07%   
Gladstone Land's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Gladstone Land. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Gladstone Land based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Gladstone Land over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $12.5 is a CALL option contract on Gladstone Land's common stock with a strick price of 12.5 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-19 at 12:17:26 for $0.6 and, as of today, has 21 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.7, and an ask price of $1.1. The implied volatility as of the 29th of March is 21.97. View All Gladstone options

Closest to current price Gladstone long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Gladstone Land's future price is the expected price of Gladstone Land instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gladstone Land performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Gladstone Land Backtesting, Gladstone Land Valuation, Gladstone Land Correlation, Gladstone Land Hype Analysis, Gladstone Land Volatility, Gladstone Land History as well as Gladstone Land Performance.
For information on how to trade Gladstone Stock refer to our How to Trade Gladstone Stock guide.
  
The current year's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 30.94, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to 33.68. Please specify Gladstone Land's target price for which you would like Gladstone Land odds to be computed.

Gladstone Land Target Price Odds to finish over 22.89

The tendency of Gladstone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 22.89  or more in 90 days
 13.34 90 days 22.89 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gladstone Land to move over $ 22.89  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Gladstone Land probability density function shows the probability of Gladstone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gladstone Land price to stay between its current price of $ 13.34  and $ 22.89  at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.31 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.49 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Gladstone Land will likely underperform. Additionally Gladstone Land has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Gladstone Land Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gladstone Land

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gladstone Land. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gladstone Land's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.7513.3414.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.8613.4515.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.3512.9514.54
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.3819.1021.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gladstone Land. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gladstone Land's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gladstone Land's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gladstone Land.

Gladstone Land Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gladstone Land is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gladstone Land's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gladstone Land, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gladstone Land within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.3
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.49
σ
Overall volatility
0.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Gladstone Land Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gladstone Land for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gladstone Land can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gladstone Land generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
On 29th of February 2024 Gladstone Land paid $ 0.0465 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Invest Like Bill Gates With This Top Farmland REIT

Gladstone Land Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gladstone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gladstone Land's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gladstone Land's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding35.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments18.6 M

Gladstone Land Technical Analysis

Gladstone Land's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gladstone Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gladstone Land. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gladstone Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gladstone Land Predictive Forecast Models

Gladstone Land's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gladstone Land's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gladstone Land's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gladstone Land

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gladstone Land for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gladstone Land help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gladstone Land generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
On 29th of February 2024 Gladstone Land paid $ 0.0465 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Invest Like Bill Gates With This Top Farmland REIT
When determining whether Gladstone Land is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Gladstone Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Gladstone Land Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Gladstone Land Stock:

Complementary Tools for Gladstone Stock analysis

When running Gladstone Land's price analysis, check to measure Gladstone Land's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gladstone Land is operating at the current time. Most of Gladstone Land's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gladstone Land's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gladstone Land's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gladstone Land to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Gladstone Land's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gladstone Land. If investors know Gladstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gladstone Land listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share
0.554
Earnings Share
(0.28)
Revenue Per Share
2.528
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Return On Assets
0.0147
The market value of Gladstone Land is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gladstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gladstone Land's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gladstone Land's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gladstone Land's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gladstone Land's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gladstone Land's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gladstone Land is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gladstone Land's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.