Liberty Global Plc Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 26.57

LBTYA Stock  USD 18.74  0.01  0.05%   
Liberty Global's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Liberty Global PLC. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Liberty Global based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Liberty Global PLC over a specific time period. For example, 2024-08-16 CALL at $17.5 is a CALL option contract on Liberty Global's common stock with a strick price of 17.5 expiring on 2024-08-16. The contract was last traded on 2024-07-16 at 09:48:17 for $1.75 and, as of today, has 27 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.05, and an ask price of $2.2. The implied volatility as of the 21st of July is 90.77. View All Liberty options

Closest to current price Liberty long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Liberty Global's future price is the expected price of Liberty Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Liberty Global PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Liberty Global Backtesting, Liberty Global Valuation, Liberty Global Correlation, Liberty Global Hype Analysis, Liberty Global Volatility, Liberty Global History as well as Liberty Global Performance.
  
At present, Liberty Global's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is projected to drop slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 13.98, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.96. Please specify Liberty Global's target price for which you would like Liberty Global odds to be computed.

Liberty Global Target Price Odds to finish over 26.57

The tendency of Liberty Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 26.57  or more in 90 days
 18.74 90 days 26.57 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Liberty Global to move over $ 26.57  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Liberty Global PLC probability density function shows the probability of Liberty Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Liberty Global PLC price to stay between its current price of $ 18.74  and $ 26.57  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.19 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Liberty Global will likely underperform. Additionally Liberty Global PLC has an alpha of 0.1069, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Liberty Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Liberty Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Liberty Global PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Liberty Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.1918.8420.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.8722.3524.00
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
24.1826.5729.49
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.89-0.73-0.57
Details

Liberty Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Liberty Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Liberty Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Liberty Global PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Liberty Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.82
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Liberty Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Liberty Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Liberty Global PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 7.49 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.87 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.11 B.
Liberty Global PLC has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from businesswire.com: Samenvatting Arrcus zet de innovatie van netwerken verder dankzij een nieuwe investering van 30M

Liberty Global Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Liberty Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Liberty Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Liberty Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding425.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.4 B

Liberty Global Technical Analysis

Liberty Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Liberty Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Liberty Global PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Liberty Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Liberty Global Predictive Forecast Models

Liberty Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Liberty Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Liberty Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Liberty Global PLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about Liberty Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Liberty Global PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 7.49 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.87 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.11 B.
Liberty Global PLC has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from businesswire.com: Samenvatting Arrcus zet de innovatie van netwerken verder dankzij een nieuwe investering van 30M

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Liberty Stock

When determining whether Liberty Global PLC is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Liberty Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Liberty Global Plc Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Liberty Global Plc Stock:
Is Diversified Telecommunication Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Liberty Global. If investors know Liberty will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Liberty Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.68)
Earnings Share
(6.61)
Revenue Per Share
18.617
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.041
Return On Assets
(0)
The market value of Liberty Global PLC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Liberty that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Liberty Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Liberty Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Liberty Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Liberty Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Liberty Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Liberty Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Liberty Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.