Leidos Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 116.63
LDOS Stock | USD 141.20 0.99 0.70% |
Closest to current price Leidos long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Leidos |
Leidos Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 116.63
The tendency of Leidos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 116.63 or more in 90 days |
141.20 | 90 days | 116.63 | about 11.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Leidos Holdings to drop to $ 116.63 or more in 90 days from now is about 11.94 (This Leidos Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Leidos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Leidos Holdings price to stay between $ 116.63 and its current price of $141.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.3 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Leidos Holdings has a beta of -0.12. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Leidos Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Leidos Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Leidos Holdings has an alpha of 0.3551, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Leidos Holdings Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Leidos Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Leidos Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Leidos Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Leidos Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Leidos Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Leidos Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Leidos Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Leidos Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.36 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.24 |
Leidos Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Leidos Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Leidos Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.The company currently holds 5.2 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.35, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Leidos Holdings has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Leidos Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Leidos Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Leidos Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Leidos to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Leidos Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
Leidos Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
Over 79.0% of Leidos Holdings shares are owned by institutional investors | |
On 28th of March 2024 Leidos Holdings paid $ 0.38 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Leidos jumps to record high after earnings beat |
Leidos Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Leidos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Leidos Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Leidos Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 138 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 777 M |
Leidos Holdings Technical Analysis
Leidos Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Leidos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Leidos Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Leidos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Leidos Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Leidos Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Leidos Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Leidos Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Leidos Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Leidos Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Leidos Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company currently holds 5.2 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.35, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Leidos Holdings has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Leidos Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Leidos Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Leidos Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Leidos to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Leidos Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
Leidos Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
Over 79.0% of Leidos Holdings shares are owned by institutional investors | |
On 28th of March 2024 Leidos Holdings paid $ 0.38 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Leidos jumps to record high after earnings beat |
Check out Leidos Holdings Backtesting, Leidos Holdings Valuation, Leidos Holdings Correlation, Leidos Holdings Hype Analysis, Leidos Holdings Volatility, Leidos Holdings History as well as Leidos Holdings Performance. For more information on how to buy Leidos Stock please use our How to Invest in Leidos Holdings guide.You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Complementary Tools for Leidos Stock analysis
When running Leidos Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Leidos Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Leidos Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Leidos Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Leidos Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Leidos Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Leidos Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Leidos Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Leidos Holdings. If investors know Leidos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Leidos Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.769 | Dividend Share 1.48 | Earnings Share 1.44 | Revenue Per Share 114.91 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.075 |
The market value of Leidos Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Leidos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Leidos Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Leidos Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Leidos Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Leidos Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Leidos Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Leidos Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Leidos Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.