Lastminute (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 38.6
| LMN Stock | CHF 20.80 0.55 2.72% |
Lastminute |
Lastminute Target Price Odds to finish below 38.6
The tendency of Lastminute Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under ₣ 38.60 after 90 days |
| 20.80 | 90 days | 38.60 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lastminute to stay under ₣ 38.60 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Lastminute NV probability density function shows the probability of Lastminute Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lastminute NV price to stay between its current price of ₣ 20.80 and ₣ 38.60 at the end of the 90-day period is about 74.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lastminute NV has a beta of -0.39. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lastminute are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lastminute NV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lastminute NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Lastminute Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lastminute
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lastminute NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lastminute's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lastminute Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lastminute is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lastminute's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lastminute NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lastminute within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Lastminute Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lastminute for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lastminute NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lastminute NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has accumulated 33.13 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.56, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Lastminute NV has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Lastminute until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Lastminute's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Lastminute NV sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Lastminute to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Lastminute's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 142.61 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.61 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 91.04 M. | |
| About 53.0% of Lastminute outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Lastminute Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lastminute Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lastminute's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lastminute's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 113.3 M |
Lastminute Technical Analysis
Lastminute's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lastminute Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lastminute NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lastminute Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lastminute Predictive Forecast Models
Lastminute's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lastminute's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lastminute's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lastminute NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lastminute for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lastminute NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lastminute NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has accumulated 33.13 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.56, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Lastminute NV has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Lastminute until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Lastminute's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Lastminute NV sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Lastminute to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Lastminute's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 142.61 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.61 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 91.04 M. | |
| About 53.0% of Lastminute outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Lastminute Backtesting, Lastminute Valuation, Lastminute Correlation, Lastminute Hype Analysis, Lastminute Volatility, Lastminute History as well as Lastminute Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Complementary Tools for Lastminute Stock analysis
When running Lastminute's price analysis, check to measure Lastminute's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lastminute is operating at the current time. Most of Lastminute's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lastminute's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lastminute's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lastminute to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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