Lenovo Group Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 4.41

LNVGF Stock  USD 1.11  0.04  3.48%   
Lenovo's future price is the expected price of Lenovo instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lenovo Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lenovo Backtesting, Lenovo Valuation, Lenovo Correlation, Lenovo Hype Analysis, Lenovo Volatility, Lenovo History as well as Lenovo Performance.
  
Please specify Lenovo's target price for which you would like Lenovo odds to be computed.

Lenovo Target Price Odds to finish over 4.41

The tendency of Lenovo Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 4.41  or more in 90 days
 1.11 90 days 4.41 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lenovo to move over $ 4.41  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Lenovo Group probability density function shows the probability of Lenovo Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lenovo Group price to stay between its current price of $ 1.11  and $ 4.41  at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.34 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.31 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lenovo will likely underperform. Additionally Lenovo Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Lenovo Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lenovo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lenovo Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lenovo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.115.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.955.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lenovo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lenovo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lenovo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lenovo Group.

Lenovo Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lenovo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lenovo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lenovo Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lenovo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.36
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.31
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Lenovo Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lenovo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lenovo Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lenovo Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lenovo Group may become a speculative penny stock
Lenovo Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company has accumulated 2.63 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.69, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Lenovo Group has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Lenovo until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Lenovo's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Lenovo Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Lenovo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Lenovo's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 42.0% of Lenovo outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Lenovo Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lenovo Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lenovo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lenovo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12 B

Lenovo Technical Analysis

Lenovo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lenovo Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lenovo Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lenovo Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lenovo Predictive Forecast Models

Lenovo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lenovo's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lenovo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lenovo Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lenovo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lenovo Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lenovo Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lenovo Group may become a speculative penny stock
Lenovo Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company has accumulated 2.63 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.69, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Lenovo Group has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Lenovo until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Lenovo's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Lenovo Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Lenovo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Lenovo's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 42.0% of Lenovo outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Check out Lenovo Backtesting, Lenovo Valuation, Lenovo Correlation, Lenovo Hype Analysis, Lenovo Volatility, Lenovo History as well as Lenovo Performance.
Note that the Lenovo Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Lenovo's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.

Complementary Tools for Lenovo Pink Sheet analysis

When running Lenovo's price analysis, check to measure Lenovo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lenovo is operating at the current time. Most of Lenovo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lenovo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lenovo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lenovo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Stocks Directory
Find actively traded stocks across global markets
USA ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lenovo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lenovo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lenovo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.