Lenovo OTC Stock Chance of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 21.90

LNVGY -  USA Stock  

USD 21.90  0.24  1.11%

Lenovo's future price is the expected price of Lenovo instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lenovo Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

Lenovo Price Probability 

 
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Additionally, see Lenovo Backtesting, Lenovo Valuation, Lenovo Correlation, Lenovo Hype Analysis, Lenovo Volatility, Lenovo History as well as Lenovo Performance. Please specify Lenovo time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Lenovo odds to be computed.
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Lenovo Target Price Odds to finish over 21.90

The tendency of Lenovo OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 21.90 90 days 21.90  about 44.73
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lenovo to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 44.73 (This Lenovo Group probability density function shows the probability of Lenovo OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lenovo Group has a beta of -0.28. This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Lenovo are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Lenovo Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1461, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Lenovo Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Lenovo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lenovo Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lenovo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Lenovo in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
16.9021.8026.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
11.0015.9024.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
16.4921.3826.28
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
11.9011.9011.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lenovo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lenovo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lenovo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Lenovo Group.

Lenovo Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lenovo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lenovo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lenovo Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lenovo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.15
β
Beta against DOW-0.28
σ
Overall volatility
2.19
Ir
Information ratio 0.02449

Lenovo Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lenovo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lenovo Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lenovo Group has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company has accumulated 4.45 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.07, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Lenovo Group has a current ratio of 0.85, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.
On 24th of November 2021 Lenovo paid $ 0.2056 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from www.nasdaq.com: TELUS to Sell Financial Solutions Business for Core Focus - Nasdaq

Lenovo Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lenovo OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lenovo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lenovo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.04
Float Shares382.17M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day61.42k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month108.77k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.18%

Lenovo Technical Analysis

Lenovo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lenovo OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lenovo Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lenovo OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lenovo Predictive Forecast Models

Lenovo time-series forecasting models is one of many Lenovo's otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Lenovo's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lenovo Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lenovo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lenovo Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Lenovo Alerts

Lenovo Alerts and Suggestions

Lenovo Group has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company has accumulated 4.45 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.07, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Lenovo Group has a current ratio of 0.85, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.
On 24th of November 2021 Lenovo paid $ 0.2056 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from www.nasdaq.com: TELUS to Sell Financial Solutions Business for Core Focus - Nasdaq
Additionally, see Lenovo Backtesting, Lenovo Valuation, Lenovo Correlation, Lenovo Hype Analysis, Lenovo Volatility, Lenovo History as well as Lenovo Performance. Note that the Lenovo Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Lenovo's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

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When running Lenovo Group price analysis, check to measure Lenovo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lenovo is operating at the current time. Most of Lenovo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lenovo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lenovo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lenovo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Lenovo's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lenovo. If investors know Lenovo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lenovo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Lenovo Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lenovo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lenovo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lenovo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lenovo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lenovo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lenovo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Lenovo value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lenovo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.