Loop Industries Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.89

LOOP -  USA Stock  

USD 12.89  0.29  2.20%

Loop Industries' future price is the expected price of Loop Industries instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Loop Industries performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. As of 9th of December 2021, Price to Book Value is likely to drop to 10.57. In addition to that, Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to drop to -17.25.

Loop Industries Price Probability 

 
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Loop Industries' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Loop Industries. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Loop Industries based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Loop Industries over a specific time period. For example, 2021-12-17 CALL at $12.5 is a CALL option contract on Loop Industries' common stock with a strick price of 12.5 expiring on 2021-12-17. The contract was last traded on 2021-12-07 at 13:38:16 for $1.37 and, as of today, has 8 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.8, and an ask price of $1.95. The implied volatility as of the 9th of December is 124.3336. View All Loop Industries options

Closest to current price Loop Industries long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, see Loop Industries Backtesting, Loop Industries Valuation, Loop Industries Correlation, Loop Industries Hype Analysis, Loop Industries Volatility, Loop Industries History as well as Loop Industries Performance. Please specify Loop Industries time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Loop Industries odds to be computed.
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Loop Industries Target Price Odds to finish over 12.89

The tendency of Loop Industries Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.89 90 days 12.89  about 53.59
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Loop Industries to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 53.59 (This Loop Industries probability density function shows the probability of Loop Industries Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.9 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Loop Industries will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.3688, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Loop Industries Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Loop Industries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Loop Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Loop Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Loop Industries in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
9.1513.1717.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
11.1715.1919.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
10.4714.4918.52
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
19.5020.8323.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Loop Industries. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Loop Industries' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Loop Industries' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Loop Industries.

Loop Industries Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Loop Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Loop Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Loop Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Loop Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.37
β
Beta against DOW1.90
σ
Overall volatility
2.00
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Loop Industries Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Loop Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Loop Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Loop Industries has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Loop Industries was previously known as Loop Industries and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol LLPP.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 86.66 M. Net Loss for the year was (36.34 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 73.88 M.
Loop Industries currently holds about 35.22 M in cash with (22.49 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.83.
Loop Industries has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Loop Industries Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Loop Industries Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Loop Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Loop Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out5.40%
Short Percent Of Float9.87%
Float Shares20.07M
Shares Short Prior Month2.91M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day79.81k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month120.49k
Date Short Interest15th of June 2021

Loop Industries Technical Analysis

Loop Industries' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Loop Industries Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Loop Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing Loop Industries Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Loop Industries Predictive Forecast Models

Loop Industries time-series forecasting models is one of many Loop Industries' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Loop Industries' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Loop Industries

Checking the ongoing alerts about Loop Industries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Loop Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Loop Industries Alerts

Loop Industries Alerts and Suggestions

Loop Industries has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Loop Industries was previously known as Loop Industries and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol LLPP.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 86.66 M. Net Loss for the year was (36.34 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 73.88 M.
Loop Industries currently holds about 35.22 M in cash with (22.49 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.83.
Loop Industries has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Additionally, see Loop Industries Backtesting, Loop Industries Valuation, Loop Industries Correlation, Loop Industries Hype Analysis, Loop Industries Volatility, Loop Industries History as well as Loop Industries Performance. Note that the Loop Industries information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Loop Industries' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try CEO Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

Complementary Tools for Loop Industries Stock analysis

When running Loop Industries price analysis, check to measure Loop Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Loop Industries is operating at the current time. Most of Loop Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Loop Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Loop Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Loop Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Loop Industries' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Loop Industries. If investors know Loop Industries will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Loop Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Loop Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Loop Industries that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Loop Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Loop Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Loop Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Loop Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Loop Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Loop Industries value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Loop Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.