Loop Industries Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.65
| LOOP Stock | USD 2.80 0.05 1.82% |
Closest to current price Loop long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Loop |
Loop Industries Target Price Odds to finish over 12.65
The tendency of Loop Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 12.65 or more in 90 days |
| 2.80 | 90 days | 12.65 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Loop Industries to move over $ 12.65 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Loop Industries probability density function shows the probability of Loop Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Loop Industries price to stay between its current price of $ 2.80 and $ 12.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.83 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.1 . This indicates Loop Industries market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Loop Industries is expected to follow. Additionally Loop Industries has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Loop Industries Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Loop Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Loop Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Loop Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Loop Industries Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Loop Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Loop Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Loop Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Loop Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.41 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.10 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Loop Industries Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Loop Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Loop Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Loop Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Loop Industries has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 172.84 K. Net Loss for the year was (21.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Loop Industries currently holds about 23.08 M in cash with (34.89 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.49. | |
| Loop Industries has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: 100 Invested In This Stock 20 Years Ago Would Be Worth 800 Today |
Loop Industries Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Loop Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Loop Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Loop Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29.6 M |
Loop Industries Technical Analysis
Loop Industries' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Loop Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Loop Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing Loop Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Loop Industries Predictive Forecast Models
Loop Industries' time-series forecasting models is one of many Loop Industries' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Loop Industries' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Loop Industries
Checking the ongoing alerts about Loop Industries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Loop Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Loop Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Loop Industries has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 172.84 K. Net Loss for the year was (21.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Loop Industries currently holds about 23.08 M in cash with (34.89 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.49. | |
| Loop Industries has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: 100 Invested In This Stock 20 Years Ago Would Be Worth 800 Today |
Check out Loop Industries Backtesting, Loop Industries Valuation, Loop Industries Correlation, Loop Industries Hype Analysis, Loop Industries Volatility, Loop Industries History as well as Loop Industries Performance. To learn how to invest in Loop Stock, please use our How to Invest in Loop Industries guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Complementary Tools for Loop Stock analysis
When running Loop Industries' price analysis, check to measure Loop Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Loop Industries is operating at the current time. Most of Loop Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Loop Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Loop Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Loop Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Technical Analysis Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data | |
| Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios | |
| Correlation Analysis Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated | |
| Bond Analysis Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios. | |
| Companies Directory Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals | |
| Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings | |
| Price Exposure Probability Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets | |
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets | |
| ETF Categories List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments | |
| Performance Analysis Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation | |
| Sign In To Macroaxis Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules |
Is Loop Industries' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Loop Industries. If investors know Loop will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Loop Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.23) | Revenue Per Share 0.003 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.04 | Return On Assets (0.41) | Return On Equity (0.45) |
The market value of Loop Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Loop that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Loop Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Loop Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Loop Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Loop Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Loop Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Loop Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Loop Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.