Grand Canyon Education Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 122.0
| LOPE Stock | USD 128.70 0.24 0.19% |
Closest to current price Grand long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Grand |
Grand Canyon Target Price Odds to finish over 122.0
The tendency of Grand Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 122.00 in 90 days |
| 128.70 | 90 days | 122.00 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grand Canyon to stay above $ 122.00 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Grand Canyon Education probability density function shows the probability of Grand Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Grand Canyon Education price to stay between $ 122.00 and its current price of $128.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.33 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Grand Canyon has a beta of 0.65. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Grand Canyon average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Grand Canyon Education will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Grand Canyon Education has an alpha of 0.0055, implying that it can generate a 0.005464 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Grand Canyon Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Grand Canyon
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grand Canyon Education. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grand Canyon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Grand Canyon Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grand Canyon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grand Canyon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grand Canyon Education, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grand Canyon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Grand Canyon Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grand Canyon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grand Canyon Education can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Grand Canyon has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investors.com: IBD Rating Upgrades Grand Canyon Education Flashes Improved Relative Price Strength |
Grand Canyon Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Grand Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Grand Canyon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grand Canyon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 244.5 M |
Grand Canyon Technical Analysis
Grand Canyon's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grand Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grand Canyon Education. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grand Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Grand Canyon Predictive Forecast Models
Grand Canyon's time-series forecasting models is one of many Grand Canyon's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Grand Canyon's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Grand Canyon Education
Checking the ongoing alerts about Grand Canyon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grand Canyon Education help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Grand Canyon has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investors.com: IBD Rating Upgrades Grand Canyon Education Flashes Improved Relative Price Strength |
Check out Grand Canyon Backtesting, Grand Canyon Valuation, Grand Canyon Correlation, Grand Canyon Hype Analysis, Grand Canyon Volatility, Grand Canyon History as well as Grand Canyon Performance. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Complementary Tools for Grand Stock analysis
When running Grand Canyon's price analysis, check to measure Grand Canyon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grand Canyon is operating at the current time. Most of Grand Canyon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grand Canyon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grand Canyon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grand Canyon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Grand Canyon's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Grand Canyon. If investors know Grand will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Grand Canyon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.176 | Earnings Share 6.8 | Revenue Per Share 32.04 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.076 | Return On Assets 0.1767 |
The market value of Grand Canyon Education is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Grand that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Grand Canyon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Grand Canyon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Grand Canyon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Grand Canyon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Grand Canyon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grand Canyon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grand Canyon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.