Loral Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 41.52

LORL -  USA Stock  

USD 41.52  0.00  0.00%

Loral Space's future price is the expected price of Loral Space instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Loral Space Comm performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Price to Book Value is expected to hike to 4.43 this year. Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to hike to 7.15 this year.

Loral Price Probability 

 
Refresh
Loral Space's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Loral Space Comm. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Loral Space based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Loral Space Comm over a specific time period. For example, 2021-12-17 CALL at $40.0 is a CALL option contract on Loral Space's common stock with a strick price of 40.0 expiring on 2021-12-17. The contract was last traded on 2021-11-17 at 09:37:29 for $5.0 and, as of today, has 9 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.95, and an ask price of $6.0. The implied volatility as of the 8th of December is 80.1135. View All Loral options

Closest to current price Loral long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, see Stocks Correlation.Please specify Loral Space time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Loral Space odds to be computed.
Apply Odds

Loral Space Target Price Odds to finish over 41.52

The tendency of Loral Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 41.52 90 days 41.52  about 74.83
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Loral Space to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 74.83 (This Loral Space Comm probability density function shows the probability of Loral Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Loral Space has a beta of 0.43. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Loral Space average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Loral Space Comm will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1101, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Loral Space Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Loral Space

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Loral Space Comm. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Loral Space's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Loral Space in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
38.3741.3044.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
33.9336.8645.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
35.6338.5641.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
38.6247.2255.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Loral Space. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Loral Space's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Loral Space's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Loral Space Comm.

Loral Space Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Loral Space is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Loral Space's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Loral Space Comm, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Loral Space within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.11
β
Beta against DOW0.43
σ
Overall volatility
4.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.035602

Loral Space Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Loral Space for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Loral Space Comm can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Loral Space Comm is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Loral Space Comm currently holds about 23.23 M in cash with (12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.75.
Loral Space Comm has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Loral Space Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Loral Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Loral Space's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Loral Space's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.96%
Short Percent Of Float5.75%
Float Shares12.69M
Shares Short Prior Month586.13k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day81.99k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month79.14k
Date Short Interest31st of August 2021

Loral Space Technical Analysis

Loral Space's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Loral Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Loral Space Comm. In general, you should focus on analyzing Loral Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Loral Space Predictive Forecast Models

Loral Space time-series forecasting models is one of many Loral Space's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Loral Space's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Loral Space Comm

Checking the ongoing alerts about Loral Space for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Loral Space Comm help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Loral Space Alerts

Loral Space Alerts and Suggestions

Loral Space Comm is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Loral Space Comm currently holds about 23.23 M in cash with (12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.75.
Loral Space Comm has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Additionally, see Stocks Correlation. Note that the Loral Space Comm information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Loral Space's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Analyst Recommendations module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

Complementary Tools for Loral Stock analysis

When running Loral Space Comm price analysis, check to measure Loral Space's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Loral Space is operating at the current time. Most of Loral Space's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Loral Space's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Loral Space's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Loral Space to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Go
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Go
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Go
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Go
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Go
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Go
Stock Screener
Find equities using custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Go
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Go
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Go
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Go
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Go
Is Loral Space's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Loral Space. If investors know Loral will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Loral Space listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Loral Space Comm is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Loral that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Loral Space's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Loral Space's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Loral Space's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Loral Space's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Loral Space's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Loral Space value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Loral Space's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.