Lovesac Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 64.55

LOVE -  USA Stock  

USD 64.55  1.26  1.99%

Lovesac's future price is the expected price of Lovesac instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of The Lovesac performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. The current year Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to grow to 60.40, whereas Price to Book Value is forecasted to decline to 6.67.

Lovesac Price Probability 

 
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Lovesac's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on The Lovesac. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Lovesac based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in The Lovesac over a specific time period. For example, 2021-12-17 CALL at $65.0 is a CALL option contract on Lovesac's common stock with a strick price of 65.0 expiring on 2021-12-17. The contract was last traded on 2021-12-06 at 15:59:49 for $4.5 and, as of today, has 10 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $4.3, and an ask price of $4.9. The implied volatility as of the 7th of December is 119.7706. View All Lovesac options

Closest to current price Lovesac long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, see Lovesac Backtesting, Lovesac Valuation, Lovesac Correlation, Lovesac Hype Analysis, Lovesac Volatility, Lovesac History as well as Lovesac Performance. Please specify Lovesac time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Lovesac odds to be computed.
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Lovesac Target Price Odds to finish over 64.55

The tendency of Lovesac Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 64.55 90 days 64.55  about 81.23
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lovesac to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 81.23 (This The Lovesac probability density function shows the probability of Lovesac Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.58 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lovesac will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.4138, implying that it can generate a 0.41 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Lovesac Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Lovesac

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lovesac. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lovesac's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Lovesac in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
64.5569.4174.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
60.3585.7690.62
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
85.00101.43110.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.640.961.22
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lovesac. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lovesac's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lovesac's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Lovesac.

Lovesac Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lovesac is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lovesac's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Lovesac, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lovesac within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.41
β
Beta against DOW1.58
σ
Overall volatility
8.46
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Lovesac Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lovesac for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lovesac can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lovesac has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition or disposition of Lovesac securities by Fox Mary

Lovesac Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lovesac Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lovesac's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lovesac's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out16.38%
Short Percent Of Float19.43%
Float Shares14.47M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day400.92k
Shares Short Prior Month2.52M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month423k
Date Short Interest15th of November 2021

Lovesac Technical Analysis

Lovesac's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lovesac Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Lovesac. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lovesac Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lovesac Predictive Forecast Models

Lovesac time-series forecasting models is one of many Lovesac's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Lovesac's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lovesac

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lovesac for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lovesac help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Lovesac Alerts

Lovesac Alerts and Suggestions

Lovesac has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition or disposition of Lovesac securities by Fox Mary
Additionally, see Lovesac Backtesting, Lovesac Valuation, Lovesac Correlation, Lovesac Hype Analysis, Lovesac Volatility, Lovesac History as well as Lovesac Performance. Note that the Lovesac information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Lovesac's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Shere Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Complementary Tools for Lovesac Stock analysis

When running Lovesac price analysis, check to measure Lovesac's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lovesac is operating at the current time. Most of Lovesac's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lovesac's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lovesac's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lovesac to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Lovesac's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lovesac. If investors know Lovesac will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lovesac listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Lovesac is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lovesac that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lovesac's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lovesac's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lovesac's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lovesac's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lovesac's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Lovesac value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lovesac's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.