Loop Media Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.35
| LPTV Stock | USD 0.35 0.02 6.06% |
Loop |
Loop Media Target Price Odds to finish over 0.35
The tendency of Loop Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.35 | 90 days | 0.35 | about 84.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Loop Media to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 84.13 (This Loop Media probability density function shows the probability of Loop Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Loop Media has a beta of 0.25. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Loop Media average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Loop Media will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Loop Media has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Loop Media Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Loop Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Loop Media. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Loop Media's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Loop Media Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Loop Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Loop Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Loop Media, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Loop Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.85 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Loop Media Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Loop Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Loop Media can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Loop Media generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Loop Media has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Loop Media has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Loop Media has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company currently holds 7.55 M in liabilities. Loop Media has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Loop Media until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Loop Media's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Loop Media sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Loop to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Loop Media's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 31.64 M. Net Loss for the year was (31.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.38 M. | |
| Loop Media currently holds about 709.73 K in cash with (14.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Loop Media has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Loop Media Trading Down 2.3 percent - Defense World |
Loop Media Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Loop Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Loop Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Loop Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 57.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.1 M |
Loop Media Technical Analysis
Loop Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Loop Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Loop Media. In general, you should focus on analyzing Loop Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Loop Media Predictive Forecast Models
Loop Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many Loop Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Loop Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Loop Media
Checking the ongoing alerts about Loop Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Loop Media help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Loop Media generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Loop Media has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Loop Media has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Loop Media has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company currently holds 7.55 M in liabilities. Loop Media has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Loop Media until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Loop Media's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Loop Media sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Loop to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Loop Media's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 31.64 M. Net Loss for the year was (31.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.38 M. | |
| Loop Media currently holds about 709.73 K in cash with (14.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Loop Media has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Loop Media Trading Down 2.3 percent - Defense World |
Check out Loop Media Backtesting, Loop Media Valuation, Loop Media Correlation, Loop Media Hype Analysis, Loop Media Volatility, Loop Media History as well as Loop Media Performance. For more information on how to buy Loop Stock please use our How to Invest in Loop Media guide.You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
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When running Loop Media's price analysis, check to measure Loop Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Loop Media is operating at the current time. Most of Loop Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Loop Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Loop Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Loop Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Loop Media's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Loop Media. If investors know Loop will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Loop Media listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.118 | Earnings Share (0.56) | Revenue Per Share 0.449 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.31) | Return On Assets (0.69) |
The market value of Loop Media is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Loop that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Loop Media's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Loop Media's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Loop Media's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Loop Media's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Loop Media's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Loop Media is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Loop Media's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.