Lamb Weston Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 60.98

LW Stock  USD 106.30  0.70  0.66%   
Lamb Weston's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Lamb Weston Holdings. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Lamb Weston based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Lamb Weston Holdings over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $105.0 is a CALL option contract on Lamb Weston's common stock with a strick price of 105.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:36:59 for $4.7 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $4.8, and an ask price of $5.0. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 39.51. View All Lamb options

Closest to current price Lamb long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Lamb Weston's future price is the expected price of Lamb Weston instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lamb Weston Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lamb Weston Backtesting, Lamb Weston Valuation, Lamb Weston Correlation, Lamb Weston Hype Analysis, Lamb Weston Volatility, Lamb Weston History as well as Lamb Weston Performance.
  
At this time, Lamb Weston's Price Book Value Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to climb to 36.83 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 1.84 in 2024. Please specify Lamb Weston's target price for which you would like Lamb Weston odds to be computed.

Lamb Weston Target Price Odds to finish over 60.98

The tendency of Lamb Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 60.98  in 90 days
 106.30 90 days 60.98 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lamb Weston to stay above $ 60.98  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Lamb Weston Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Lamb Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lamb Weston Holdings price to stay between $ 60.98  and its current price of $106.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.53 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Lamb Weston has a beta of 0.0306. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lamb Weston average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lamb Weston Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lamb Weston Holdings has an alpha of 0.0332, implying that it can generate a 0.0332 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lamb Weston Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lamb Weston

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lamb Weston Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lamb Weston's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
105.03106.31107.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
95.67107.97109.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
105.61106.89108.17
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
108.19118.89131.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lamb Weston. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lamb Weston's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lamb Weston's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lamb Weston Holdings.

Lamb Weston Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lamb Weston is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lamb Weston's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lamb Weston Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lamb Weston within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.03
σ
Overall volatility
2.55
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Lamb Weston Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lamb Weston for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lamb Weston Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lamb Weston Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 1st of March 2024 Lamb Weston paid $ 0.36 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: 2177 Shares in Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. Purchased by Dynamic Advisor Solutions LLC - Defense World

Lamb Weston Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lamb Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lamb Weston's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lamb Weston's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding145.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments304.8 M

Lamb Weston Technical Analysis

Lamb Weston's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lamb Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lamb Weston Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lamb Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lamb Weston Predictive Forecast Models

Lamb Weston's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lamb Weston's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lamb Weston's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lamb Weston Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lamb Weston for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lamb Weston Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lamb Weston Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 1st of March 2024 Lamb Weston paid $ 0.36 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: 2177 Shares in Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. Purchased by Dynamic Advisor Solutions LLC - Defense World
When determining whether Lamb Weston Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Lamb Weston's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Lamb Weston's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Lamb Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Lamb Weston Backtesting, Lamb Weston Valuation, Lamb Weston Correlation, Lamb Weston Hype Analysis, Lamb Weston Volatility, Lamb Weston History as well as Lamb Weston Performance.
You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..

Complementary Tools for Lamb Stock analysis

When running Lamb Weston's price analysis, check to measure Lamb Weston's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lamb Weston is operating at the current time. Most of Lamb Weston's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lamb Weston's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lamb Weston's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lamb Weston to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Sign In To Macroaxis
Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules
Odds Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Is Lamb Weston's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lamb Weston. If investors know Lamb will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lamb Weston listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.085
Dividend Share
1.12
Earnings Share
7.71
Revenue Per Share
43.72
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.357
The market value of Lamb Weston Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lamb that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lamb Weston's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lamb Weston's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lamb Weston's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lamb Weston's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lamb Weston's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lamb Weston is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lamb Weston's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.