Lifeway Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.63

LWAY
 Stock
  

USD 6.68  0.15  2.20%   

Lifeway Foods' future price is the expected price of Lifeway Foods instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lifeway Foods performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Price to Book Value is likely to rise to 2.14 in 2022. Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to rise to 23.63 in 2022.
  
Additionally, see Lifeway Foods Backtesting, Lifeway Foods Valuation, Lifeway Foods Correlation, Lifeway Foods Hype Analysis, Lifeway Foods Volatility, Lifeway Foods History as well as Lifeway Foods Performance. Please specify Lifeway Foods time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Lifeway Foods odds to be computed.

Lifeway Foods Target Price Odds to finish below 8.63

The tendency of Lifeway Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 8.63  after 90 days
 6.68 90 days 8.63 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lifeway Foods to stay under $ 8.63  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Lifeway Foods probability density function shows the probability of Lifeway Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lifeway Foods price to stay between its current price of $ 6.68  and $ 8.63  at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.82 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Lifeway Foods has a beta of 0.75. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lifeway Foods average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lifeway Foods will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1035, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lifeway Foods Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lifeway Foods

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lifeway Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lifeway Foods' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Lifeway Foods in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
3.446.7510.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
5.168.4711.78
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
14.3515.1816.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lifeway Foods. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lifeway Foods' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lifeway Foods' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Lifeway Foods.

Lifeway Foods Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lifeway Foods is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lifeway Foods' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lifeway Foods, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lifeway Foods within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.10
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.75
σ
Overall volatility
0.64
Ir
Information ratio 0.024346

Lifeway Foods Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lifeway Foods for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lifeway Foods can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lifeway Foods has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Lifeway Foods has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 77.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Lifeway Foods Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lifeway Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lifeway Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lifeway Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15435000.00

Lifeway Foods Technical Analysis

Lifeway Foods' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lifeway Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lifeway Foods. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lifeway Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lifeway Foods Predictive Forecast Models

Lifeway Foods time-series forecasting models is one of many Lifeway Foods' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Lifeway Foods' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lifeway Foods

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lifeway Foods for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lifeway Foods help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lifeway Foods has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Lifeway Foods has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 77.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Additionally, see Lifeway Foods Backtesting, Lifeway Foods Valuation, Lifeway Foods Correlation, Lifeway Foods Hype Analysis, Lifeway Foods Volatility, Lifeway Foods History as well as Lifeway Foods Performance. Note that the Lifeway Foods information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Lifeway Foods' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

Complementary Tools for Lifeway Stock analysis

When running Lifeway Foods price analysis, check to measure Lifeway Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lifeway Foods is operating at the current time. Most of Lifeway Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lifeway Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lifeway Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lifeway Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
ETF Directory
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Go
Stock Screener
Find equities using custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Go
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
Go
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Go
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Go
Analyst Recommendations
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Go
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Go
Is Lifeway Foods' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lifeway Foods. If investors know Lifeway will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lifeway Foods listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.0
Market Capitalization
105.2 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.29
Return On Assets
0.0069
Return On Equity
0.0023
The market value of Lifeway Foods is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lifeway that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lifeway Foods' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lifeway Foods' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lifeway Foods' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lifeway Foods' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lifeway Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Lifeway Foods value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lifeway Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.