Marcus Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.18

MCS
 Stock
  

USD 14.18  0.09  0.63%   

Marcus Corp's future price is the expected price of Marcus Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Marcus Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Marcus Corp's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Marcus Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Marcus Corp based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Marcus Corp over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-21 CALL at $10.0 is a CALL option contract on Marcus Corp's common stock with a strick price of 10.0 expiring on 2022-10-21. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 14 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $3.0, and an ask price of $4.8. The implied volatility as of the 7th of October is 173.7335. View All Marcus options

Closest to current price Marcus long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, see Marcus Corp Backtesting, Marcus Corp Valuation, Marcus Corp Correlation, Marcus Corp Hype Analysis, Marcus Corp Volatility, Marcus Corp History as well as Marcus Corp Performance. Please specify Marcus Corp time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Marcus Corp odds to be computed.

Marcus Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 14.18

The tendency of Marcus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 14.18 90 days 14.18 
more than 94.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marcus Corp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Marcus Corp probability density function shows the probability of Marcus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Marcus Corp has a beta of 0.84. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Marcus Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Marcus Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.023, implying that it can generate a 0.023 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Marcus Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Marcus Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marcus Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Marcus Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Marcus Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
12.4514.2215.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
12.8017.5119.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
12.5214.2916.06
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
24.0026.5029.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Marcus Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Marcus Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Marcus Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Marcus Corp.

Marcus Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marcus Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marcus Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marcus Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marcus Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.022983
β
Beta against DOW0.84
σ
Overall volatility
1.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.018455

Marcus Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marcus Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marcus Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Marcus Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Marcus Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has 508.68 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.15, which is OK given its current industry classification. Marcus Corp has a current ratio of 0.34, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Marcus Corp until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Marcus Corp's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Marcus Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Marcus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Marcus Corp's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 516.65 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (30.07 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 183.74 M.
On 15th of September 2022 Marcus Corp paid $ 0.05 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: Worthington Industries Releases 2022 Corporate Citizenship and Sustainability Report - Marketscreener.com

Marcus Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marcus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marcus Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marcus Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out11.62%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.17
Short Percent Of Float18.61%
Float Shares23.51M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day276.79k
Shares Short Prior Month3.58M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month218k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.22%

Marcus Corp Technical Analysis

Marcus Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Marcus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Marcus Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Marcus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Marcus Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Marcus Corp time-series forecasting models is one of many Marcus Corp's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Marcus Corp's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Marcus Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Marcus Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Marcus Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Marcus Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Marcus Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has 508.68 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.15, which is OK given its current industry classification. Marcus Corp has a current ratio of 0.34, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Marcus Corp until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Marcus Corp's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Marcus Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Marcus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Marcus Corp's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 516.65 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (30.07 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 183.74 M.
On 15th of September 2022 Marcus Corp paid $ 0.05 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: Worthington Industries Releases 2022 Corporate Citizenship and Sustainability Report - Marketscreener.com
Additionally, see Marcus Corp Backtesting, Marcus Corp Valuation, Marcus Corp Correlation, Marcus Corp Hype Analysis, Marcus Corp Volatility, Marcus Corp History as well as Marcus Corp Performance. Note that the Marcus Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Marcus Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for Marcus Stock analysis

When running Marcus Corp price analysis, check to measure Marcus Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marcus Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Marcus Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marcus Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marcus Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marcus Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Marcus Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Marcus Corp. If investors know Marcus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Marcus Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Marcus Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Marcus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Marcus Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Marcus Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Marcus Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Marcus Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Marcus Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Marcus Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Marcus Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.