Marcus Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.16

MCS Stock  USD 11.16  0.16  1.45%   
Marcus' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Marcus. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Marcus based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Marcus over a specific time period. For example, 2024-07-19 CALL at $10.0 is a CALL option contract on Marcus' common stock with a strick price of 10.0 expiring on 2024-07-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-06-21 at 13:33:23 for $1.12 and, as of today, has 25 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.1, and an ask price of $1.4. The implied volatility as of the 24th of June is 38.11. View All Marcus options

Closest to current price Marcus long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Marcus' future price is the expected price of Marcus instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Marcus performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Marcus Backtesting, Marcus Valuation, Marcus Correlation, Marcus Hype Analysis, Marcus Volatility, Marcus History as well as Marcus Performance.
For more information on how to buy Marcus Stock please use our How to Invest in Marcus guide.
  
At this time, Marcus' Price Book Value Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to gain to 0.01 in 2024, despite the fact that Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to (3.18). Please specify Marcus' target price for which you would like Marcus odds to be computed.

Marcus Target Price Odds to finish over 11.16

The tendency of Marcus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.16 90 days 11.16 
about 74.97
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marcus to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 74.97 (This Marcus probability density function shows the probability of Marcus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Marcus has a beta of 0.56. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Marcus average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Marcus will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Marcus has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Marcus Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Marcus

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marcus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Marcus' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.8511.1113.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.0413.7315.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.0111.2613.52
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
19.1121.0023.31
Details

Marcus Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marcus is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marcus' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marcus, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marcus within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.56
σ
Overall volatility
1.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Marcus Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marcus for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marcus can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Marcus generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Marcus has 379.06 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.11, which is OK given its current industry classification. Marcus has a current ratio of 0.51, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Marcus to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 95.0% of Marcus shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: SoundHound AI director Marcus Lawrence sells 240,505 in stock By Investing.com - Investing.com

Marcus Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marcus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marcus' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marcus' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding41 M
Cash And Short Term Investments59.8 M

Marcus Technical Analysis

Marcus' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Marcus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Marcus. In general, you should focus on analyzing Marcus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Marcus Predictive Forecast Models

Marcus' time-series forecasting models is one of many Marcus' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Marcus' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Marcus

Checking the ongoing alerts about Marcus for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Marcus help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Marcus generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Marcus has 379.06 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.11, which is OK given its current industry classification. Marcus has a current ratio of 0.51, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Marcus to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 95.0% of Marcus shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: SoundHound AI director Marcus Lawrence sells 240,505 in stock By Investing.com - Investing.com

Additional Tools for Marcus Stock Analysis

When running Marcus' price analysis, check to measure Marcus' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marcus is operating at the current time. Most of Marcus' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marcus' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marcus' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marcus to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.