Mol Plc Adr Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 4.22
| MGYOY Stock | USD 4.22 0.04 0.96% |
MOL |
MOL PLC Target Price Odds to finish over 4.22
The tendency of MOL Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 4.22 | 90 days | 4.22 | about 15.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MOL PLC to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 15.97 (This MOL PLC ADR probability density function shows the probability of MOL Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon MOL PLC has a beta of 0.94. This indicates MOL PLC ADR market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, MOL PLC is expected to follow. Additionally MOL PLC ADR has an alpha of 0.0101, implying that it can generate a 0.0101 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MOL PLC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MOL PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MOL PLC ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MOL PLC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MOL PLC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MOL PLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MOL PLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MOL PLC ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MOL PLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.94 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
MOL PLC Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MOL Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MOL PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MOL PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 782.5 M |
MOL PLC Technical Analysis
MOL PLC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MOL Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MOL PLC ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing MOL Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MOL PLC Predictive Forecast Models
MOL PLC's time-series forecasting models is one of many MOL PLC's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MOL PLC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards MOL PLC in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, MOL PLC's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from MOL PLC options trading.
Check out MOL PLC Backtesting, MOL PLC Valuation, MOL PLC Correlation, MOL PLC Hype Analysis, MOL PLC Volatility, MOL PLC History as well as MOL PLC Performance. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Complementary Tools for MOL Pink Sheet analysis
When running MOL PLC's price analysis, check to measure MOL PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MOL PLC is operating at the current time. Most of MOL PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MOL PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MOL PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MOL PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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