Makemytrip Limited Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 29.69

MMYT Stock  USD 61.22  1.59  2.53%   
MakeMyTrip's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on MakeMyTrip Limited. Implied volatility approximates the future value of MakeMyTrip based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in MakeMyTrip Limited over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $60.0 is a CALL option contract on MakeMyTrip's common stock with a strick price of 60.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-04-18 at 15:57:18 for $1.59 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.3, and an ask price of $1.6. The implied volatility as of the 19th of April is 66.55. View All MakeMyTrip options

Closest to current price MakeMyTrip long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

MakeMyTrip's future price is the expected price of MakeMyTrip instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of MakeMyTrip Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out MakeMyTrip Backtesting, MakeMyTrip Valuation, MakeMyTrip Correlation, MakeMyTrip Hype Analysis, MakeMyTrip Volatility, MakeMyTrip History as well as MakeMyTrip Performance.
  
At this time, MakeMyTrip's Price Fair Value is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Please specify MakeMyTrip's target price for which you would like MakeMyTrip odds to be computed.

MakeMyTrip Target Price Odds to finish over 29.69

The tendency of MakeMyTrip Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 29.69  in 90 days
 61.22 90 days 29.69 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MakeMyTrip to stay above $ 29.69  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This MakeMyTrip Limited probability density function shows the probability of MakeMyTrip Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MakeMyTrip Limited price to stay between $ 29.69  and its current price of $61.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.94 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.37 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, MakeMyTrip will likely underperform. Additionally MakeMyTrip Limited has an alpha of 0.3283, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   MakeMyTrip Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MakeMyTrip

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MakeMyTrip Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MakeMyTrip's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58.7061.5064.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
50.5153.3167.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
53.9956.7959.59
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
39.8143.7548.56
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MakeMyTrip. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MakeMyTrip's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MakeMyTrip's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MakeMyTrip Limited.

MakeMyTrip Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MakeMyTrip is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MakeMyTrip's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MakeMyTrip Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MakeMyTrip within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.33
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.37
σ
Overall volatility
7.13
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

MakeMyTrip Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MakeMyTrip for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MakeMyTrip Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 593.04 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 283.5 M.
Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: We Think MakeMyTrip Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

MakeMyTrip Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MakeMyTrip Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MakeMyTrip's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MakeMyTrip's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding111.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments481.1 M

MakeMyTrip Technical Analysis

MakeMyTrip's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MakeMyTrip Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MakeMyTrip Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing MakeMyTrip Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

MakeMyTrip Predictive Forecast Models

MakeMyTrip's time-series forecasting models is one of many MakeMyTrip's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MakeMyTrip's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about MakeMyTrip Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about MakeMyTrip for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MakeMyTrip Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 593.04 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 283.5 M.
Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: We Think MakeMyTrip Can Manage Its Debt With Ease
When determining whether MakeMyTrip Limited is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if MakeMyTrip Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Makemytrip Limited Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Makemytrip Limited Stock:

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When running MakeMyTrip's price analysis, check to measure MakeMyTrip's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MakeMyTrip is operating at the current time. Most of MakeMyTrip's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MakeMyTrip's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MakeMyTrip's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MakeMyTrip to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is MakeMyTrip's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MakeMyTrip. If investors know MakeMyTrip will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MakeMyTrip listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
257.252
Earnings Share
0.46
Revenue Per Share
6.582
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.256
Return On Assets
0.0246
The market value of MakeMyTrip Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MakeMyTrip that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MakeMyTrip's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MakeMyTrip's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MakeMyTrip's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MakeMyTrip's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MakeMyTrip's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MakeMyTrip is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MakeMyTrip's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.