Altria Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 46.0

MO -  USA Stock  

USD 53.74  0.70  1.32%

Altria's future price is the expected price of Altria instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Altria Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Altria Price to Earnings Ratio are quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Price to Earnings Ratio is estimated at 38.16. Price to Sales Ratio is expected to rise to 3.91 this year, although Price to Book Value will most likely fall to (55.63) .
  
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Altria's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Altria Group. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Altria based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Altria Group over a specific time period. For example, 2022-05-20 CALL at $53.5 is a CALL option contract on Altria's common stock with a strick price of 53.5 expiring on 2022-05-20. The contract was last traded on 2022-05-16 at 15:57:39 for $0.73 and, as of today, has 3 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.71, and an ask price of $0.79. The implied volatility as of the 17th of May 2022 is 27.7447. View All Altria options

Closest to current price Altria long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, see Altria Backtesting, Altria Valuation, Altria Correlation, Altria Hype Analysis, Altria Volatility, Altria History as well as Altria Performance. Please specify Altria time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Altria odds to be computed.
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Altria Target Price Odds to finish over 46.0

The tendency of Altria Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 46.00  in 90 days
 53.74 90 days 46.00  close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Altria to stay above $ 46.00  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Altria Group probability density function shows the probability of Altria Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Altria Group price to stay between $ 46.00  and its current price of $53.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.63 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Altria has a beta of 0.36. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Altria average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Altria Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1816, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Altria Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Altria

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Altria Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Altria's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Altria in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
52.2253.8755.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
51.7353.3855.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
50.1451.7953.44
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
46.0050.8856.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Altria. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Altria's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Altria's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Altria Group.

Altria Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Altria is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Altria's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Altria Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Altria within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.18
β
Beta against DOW0.36
σ
Overall volatility
2.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Altria Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Altria for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Altria Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reports 28.13 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 8.56, which implies that the company may not be able to produce enough cash to satisfy its debt commitments. Altria Group has a current ratio of 0.73, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist Altria until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Altria's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Altria Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Altria to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Altria's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Altria Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 60.0% of Altria shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.nasdaq.com: Top Research Reports for Amgen, Altria Group Uber - Nasdaq

Altria Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Altria Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Altria's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Altria's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.66%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate3.48
Short Percent Of Float0.66%
Float Shares1.84B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day12.67M
Shares Short Prior Month10.47M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month9.87M
Date Short Interest31st of December 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield6.67%

Altria Technical Analysis

Altria's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Altria Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Altria Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Altria Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Altria Predictive Forecast Models

Altria time-series forecasting models is one of many Altria's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Altria's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Altria Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Altria for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Altria Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Altria Alerts

Altria Alerts and Suggestions

The company reports 28.13 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 8.56, which implies that the company may not be able to produce enough cash to satisfy its debt commitments. Altria Group has a current ratio of 0.73, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist Altria until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Altria's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Altria Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Altria to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Altria's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Altria Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 60.0% of Altria shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.nasdaq.com: Top Research Reports for Amgen, Altria Group Uber - Nasdaq
Additionally, see Altria Backtesting, Altria Valuation, Altria Correlation, Altria Hype Analysis, Altria Volatility, Altria History as well as Altria Performance. Note that the Altria Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Altria's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

Complementary Tools for Altria Stock analysis

When running Altria Group price analysis, check to measure Altria's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Altria is operating at the current time. Most of Altria's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Altria's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Altria's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Altria to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Altria's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Altria. If investors know Altria will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Altria listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Altria Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Altria that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Altria's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Altria's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Altria's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Altria's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Altria's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Altria value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Altria's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.