Mongolia Energy Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.08
| MOAEF Stock | USD 0.08 0.00 0.00% |
Mongolia |
Mongolia Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 0.08
The tendency of Mongolia Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.08 | 90 days | 0.08 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mongolia Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Mongolia Energy probability density function shows the probability of Mongolia Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mongolia Energy has a beta of -0.31. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mongolia Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mongolia Energy is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mongolia Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Mongolia Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mongolia Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mongolia Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mongolia Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mongolia Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mongolia Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mongolia Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mongolia Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mongolia Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Mongolia Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mongolia Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mongolia Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mongolia Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Mongolia Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Mongolia Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has accumulated 3.89 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.39, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Mongolia Energy has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Mongolia Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mongolia Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mongolia Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mongolia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mongolia Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.56 B. Net Loss for the year was (349.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 614.75 M. | |
| About 24.0% of Mongolia Energy outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Mongolia Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mongolia Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mongolia Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mongolia Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 188.1 M |
Mongolia Energy Technical Analysis
Mongolia Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mongolia Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mongolia Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mongolia Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mongolia Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Mongolia Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mongolia Energy's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mongolia Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mongolia Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mongolia Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mongolia Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mongolia Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Mongolia Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Mongolia Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has accumulated 3.89 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.39, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Mongolia Energy has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Mongolia Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mongolia Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mongolia Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mongolia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mongolia Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.56 B. Net Loss for the year was (349.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 614.75 M. | |
| About 24.0% of Mongolia Energy outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Mongolia Energy Backtesting, Mongolia Energy Valuation, Mongolia Energy Correlation, Mongolia Energy Hype Analysis, Mongolia Energy Volatility, Mongolia Energy History as well as Mongolia Energy Performance. Note that the Mongolia Energy information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mongolia Energy's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Complementary Tools for Mongolia Pink Sheet analysis
When running Mongolia Energy's price analysis, check to measure Mongolia Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mongolia Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Mongolia Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mongolia Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mongolia Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mongolia Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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