Marin Software Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.52
| MRIN Stock | USD 2.68 0.27 9.15% |
Closest to current price Marin long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Marin |
Marin Software Target Price Odds to finish over 2.52
The tendency of Marin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 2.52 in 90 days |
| 2.68 | 90 days | 2.52 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marin Software to stay above $ 2.52 in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Marin Software probability density function shows the probability of Marin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Marin Software price to stay between $ 2.52 and its current price of $2.68 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Marin Software has a beta of -5.29. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Marin Software are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Marin Software is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Marin Software has an alpha of 1.4437, implying that it can generate a 1.44 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Marin Software Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Marin Software
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marin Software. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Marin Software's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Marin Software Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marin Software is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marin Software's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marin Software, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marin Software within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 1.44 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -5.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Marin Software Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marin Software for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marin Software can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Marin Software is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Marin Software appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Marin Software has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 17.73 M. Net Loss for the year was (21.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.22 M. | |
| Marin Software currently holds about 37.27 M in cash with (14.58 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.33. | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Marin Software announces 6-to-1 reverse stock split |
Marin Software Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marin Software's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marin Software's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.4 M |
Marin Software Technical Analysis
Marin Software's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Marin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Marin Software. In general, you should focus on analyzing Marin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Marin Software Predictive Forecast Models
Marin Software's time-series forecasting models is one of many Marin Software's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Marin Software's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Marin Software
Checking the ongoing alerts about Marin Software for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Marin Software help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Marin Software is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Marin Software appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Marin Software has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 17.73 M. Net Loss for the year was (21.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.22 M. | |
| Marin Software currently holds about 37.27 M in cash with (14.58 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.33. | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Marin Software announces 6-to-1 reverse stock split |
Check out Marin Software Backtesting, Marin Software Valuation, Marin Software Correlation, Marin Software Hype Analysis, Marin Software Volatility, Marin Software History as well as Marin Software Performance. To learn how to invest in Marin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Marin Software guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Complementary Tools for Marin Stock analysis
When running Marin Software's price analysis, check to measure Marin Software's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marin Software is operating at the current time. Most of Marin Software's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marin Software's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marin Software's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marin Software to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Pair Correlation Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments | |
| Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm | |
| Portfolio Dashboard Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments | |
| Equity Search Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets | |
| Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings | |
| Portfolio Center All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios | |
| ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world | |
| Top Crypto Exchanges Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges | |
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios | |
| Portfolio Comparator Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account | |
| Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance | |
| Odds Of Bankruptcy Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years |
Is Marin Software's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Marin Software. If investors know Marin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Marin Software listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (7.44) | Revenue Per Share 6.025 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.16) | Return On Assets (0.40) | Return On Equity (0.95) |
The market value of Marin Software is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Marin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Marin Software's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Marin Software's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Marin Software's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Marin Software's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Marin Software's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Marin Software is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Marin Software's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.