Microstrategy Incorporated Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 692.5
| MSTR Stock | USD 1,324 149.90 12.77% |
MicroStrategy |
MicroStrategy Incorporated Target Price Odds to finish over 692.5
The tendency of MicroStrategy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 692.50 in 90 days |
| 1,324 | 90 days | 692.50 | about 79.03 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MicroStrategy Incorporated to stay above $ 692.50 in 90 days from now is about 79.03 (This MicroStrategy Incorporated probability density function shows the probability of MicroStrategy Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MicroStrategy Incorporated price to stay between $ 692.50 and its current price of $1324.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.34 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.67 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, MicroStrategy Incorporated will likely underperform. Moreover MicroStrategy Incorporated has an alpha of 1.4225, implying that it can generate a 1.42 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MicroStrategy Incorporated Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MicroStrategy Incorporated
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MicroStrategy Incorporated. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MicroStrategy Incorporated's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MicroStrategy Incorporated Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MicroStrategy Incorporated is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MicroStrategy Incorporated's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MicroStrategy Incorporated, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MicroStrategy Incorporated within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 1.42 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 481.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
MicroStrategy Incorporated Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MicroStrategy Incorporated for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MicroStrategy Incorporated can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MicroStrategy Incorporated is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| MicroStrategy Incorporated appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company currently holds 2.25 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.82, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. MicroStrategy Incorporated has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist MicroStrategy Incorporated until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, MicroStrategy Incorporated's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like MicroStrategy Incorporated sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for MicroStrategy to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about MicroStrategy Incorporated's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 62.0% of MicroStrategy Incorporated shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zerohedge.com: Disposition of 116 shares by Michael Saylor of MicroStrategy Incorporated at 1244.86 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
MicroStrategy Incorporated Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MicroStrategy Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MicroStrategy Incorporated's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MicroStrategy Incorporated's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 48.7 M |
MicroStrategy Incorporated Technical Analysis
MicroStrategy Incorporated's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MicroStrategy Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MicroStrategy Incorporated. In general, you should focus on analyzing MicroStrategy Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MicroStrategy Incorporated Predictive Forecast Models
MicroStrategy Incorporated's time-series forecasting models is one of many MicroStrategy Incorporated's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MicroStrategy Incorporated's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MicroStrategy Incorporated
Checking the ongoing alerts about MicroStrategy Incorporated for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MicroStrategy Incorporated help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MicroStrategy Incorporated is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| MicroStrategy Incorporated appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company currently holds 2.25 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.82, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. MicroStrategy Incorporated has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist MicroStrategy Incorporated until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, MicroStrategy Incorporated's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like MicroStrategy Incorporated sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for MicroStrategy to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about MicroStrategy Incorporated's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 62.0% of MicroStrategy Incorporated shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zerohedge.com: Disposition of 116 shares by Michael Saylor of MicroStrategy Incorporated at 1244.86 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out MicroStrategy Incorporated Backtesting, MicroStrategy Incorporated Valuation, MicroStrategy Incorporated Correlation, MicroStrategy Incorporated Hype Analysis, MicroStrategy Incorporated Volatility, MicroStrategy Incorporated History as well as MicroStrategy Incorporated Performance. To learn how to invest in MicroStrategy Stock, please use our How to Invest in MicroStrategy Incorporated guide.You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
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When running MicroStrategy Incorporated's price analysis, check to measure MicroStrategy Incorporated's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MicroStrategy Incorporated is operating at the current time. Most of MicroStrategy Incorporated's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MicroStrategy Incorporated's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MicroStrategy Incorporated's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MicroStrategy Incorporated to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is MicroStrategy Incorporated's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MicroStrategy Incorporated. If investors know MicroStrategy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MicroStrategy Incorporated listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.78) | Earnings Share 26.45 | Revenue Per Share 36.3 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets (0.02) |
The market value of MicroStrategy Incorporated is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MicroStrategy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MicroStrategy Incorporated's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MicroStrategy Incorporated's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MicroStrategy Incorporated's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MicroStrategy Incorporated's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MicroStrategy Incorporated's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MicroStrategy Incorporated is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MicroStrategy Incorporated's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.