Metalla Royalty Streaming Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.72

MTA Stock  USD 3.03  0.02  0.66%   
Metalla Royalty's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Metalla Royalty Streaming. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Metalla Royalty based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Metalla Royalty Streaming over a specific time period. For example, 2024-05-17 CALL at $2.5 is a CALL option contract on Metalla Royalty's common stock with a strick price of 2.5 expiring on 2024-05-17. The contract was last traded on 2024-04-23 at 15:56:05 for $0.57 and, as of today, has 23 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.55, and an ask price of $0.6. The implied volatility as of the 24th of April is 59.69. View All Metalla options

Closest to current price Metalla long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Metalla Royalty's future price is the expected price of Metalla Royalty instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Metalla Royalty Streaming performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Metalla Royalty Backtesting, Metalla Royalty Valuation, Metalla Royalty Correlation, Metalla Royalty Hype Analysis, Metalla Royalty Volatility, Metalla Royalty History as well as Metalla Royalty Performance.
  
The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 2.41, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 65.77. Please specify Metalla Royalty's target price for which you would like Metalla Royalty odds to be computed.

Metalla Royalty Target Price Odds to finish below 6.72

The tendency of Metalla Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 6.72  after 90 days
 3.03 90 days 6.72 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Metalla Royalty to stay under $ 6.72  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Metalla Royalty Streaming probability density function shows the probability of Metalla Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Metalla Royalty Streaming price to stay between its current price of $ 3.03  and $ 6.72  at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.12 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.71 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Metalla Royalty will likely underperform. Additionally Metalla Royalty Streaming has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Metalla Royalty Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Metalla Royalty

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Metalla Royalty Streaming. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Metalla Royalty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.153.056.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.515.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.063.016.37
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.766.337.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Metalla Royalty. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Metalla Royalty's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Metalla Royalty's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Metalla Royalty Streaming.

Metalla Royalty Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Metalla Royalty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Metalla Royalty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Metalla Royalty Streaming, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Metalla Royalty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.09
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.71
σ
Overall volatility
0.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.0092

Metalla Royalty Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Metalla Royalty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Metalla Royalty Streaming can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Metalla Royalty had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company has 10.59 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.11, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. Metalla Royalty Streaming has a current ratio of 0.67, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Metalla Royalty until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Metalla Royalty's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Metalla Royalty Streaming sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Metalla to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Metalla Royalty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 2.41 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (10.93 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.97 M.
Metalla Royalty Streaming has about 3.37 M in cash with (35.04 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08.
Roughly 14.0% of Metalla Royalty outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from nypost.com: NYC subways should promote the fact there are bathrooms down there, official says

Metalla Royalty Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Metalla Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Metalla Royalty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Metalla Royalty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding44.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.6 M

Metalla Royalty Technical Analysis

Metalla Royalty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Metalla Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Metalla Royalty Streaming. In general, you should focus on analyzing Metalla Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Metalla Royalty Predictive Forecast Models

Metalla Royalty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Metalla Royalty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Metalla Royalty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Metalla Royalty Streaming

Checking the ongoing alerts about Metalla Royalty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Metalla Royalty Streaming help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Metalla Royalty had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company has 10.59 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.11, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. Metalla Royalty Streaming has a current ratio of 0.67, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Metalla Royalty until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Metalla Royalty's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Metalla Royalty Streaming sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Metalla to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Metalla Royalty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 2.41 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (10.93 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.97 M.
Metalla Royalty Streaming has about 3.37 M in cash with (35.04 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08.
Roughly 14.0% of Metalla Royalty outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from nypost.com: NYC subways should promote the fact there are bathrooms down there, official says
When determining whether Metalla Royalty Streaming offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Metalla Royalty's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Metalla Royalty Streaming Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Metalla Royalty Streaming Stock:

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When running Metalla Royalty's price analysis, check to measure Metalla Royalty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Metalla Royalty is operating at the current time. Most of Metalla Royalty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Metalla Royalty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Metalla Royalty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Metalla Royalty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Metalla Royalty's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Metalla Royalty. If investors know Metalla will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Metalla Royalty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.11)
Revenue Per Share
0.083
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.064
Return On Assets
(0.02)
Return On Equity
(0.03)
The market value of Metalla Royalty Streaming is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Metalla that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Metalla Royalty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Metalla Royalty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Metalla Royalty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Metalla Royalty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Metalla Royalty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Metalla Royalty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Metalla Royalty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.