Mountain Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.11

Stocks . Canada . 
Stock . Mountain Boy Minerals
MTB Stock  CAD 0.11  0.01  8.33%   
Mountain Boy's future price is the expected price of Mountain Boy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mountain Boy Minerals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Check out Mountain Boy Backtesting, Mountain Boy Valuation, Mountain Boy Correlation, Mountain Boy Hype Analysis, Mountain Boy Volatility, Mountain Boy History as well as Mountain Boy Performance. Please specify Mountain Boy time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Mountain Boy odds to be computed.

Mountain Boy Target Price Odds to finish over 0.11

The tendency of Mountain Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.11 90 days 0.11 
about 91.02
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mountain Boy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 91.02 (This Mountain Boy Minerals probability density function shows the probability of Mountain Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mountain Boy Minerals has a beta of -0.21. This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Mountain Boy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Mountain Boy Minerals is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Mountain Boy Minerals is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Mountain Boy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mountain Boy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mountain Boy Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mountain Boy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Mountain Boy in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.115.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.105.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0021380.115.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.100.120.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mountain Boy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mountain Boy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mountain Boy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mountain Boy Minerals.

Mountain Boy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mountain Boy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mountain Boy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mountain Boy Minerals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mountain Boy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite		-0.23
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.21
σ
Overall volatility		0.014884
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Mountain Boy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mountain Boy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mountain Boy Minerals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mountain Boy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mountain Boy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Mountain Boy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Mountain Boy has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (1.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Mountain Boy Minerals has accumulated about 2.47 M in cash with (766.13 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07.
Roughly 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Hicks Dome Volcano in Southern Illinois - q985online.com

Mountain Boy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mountain Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mountain Boy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mountain Boy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding77.9 M

Mountain Boy Technical Analysis

Mountain Boy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mountain Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mountain Boy Minerals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mountain Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cycle Indicators
Math Operators
Math Transform
Momentum Indicators
Overlap Studies
Pattern Recognition
Price Transform
Statistic Functions
Volatility Indicators
Volume Indicators

Mountain Boy Predictive Forecast Models

Mountain Boy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mountain Boy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mountain Boy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Naive Prediction
Simple Exponential Smoothing
Double Exponential Smoothing
Triple Exponential Smoothing
Simple Regression
Polynomial Regression
Simple Moving Average
4 Period Moving Average
8 Period Moving Average
20 Period Moving Average

Things to note about Mountain Boy Minerals

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mountain Boy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mountain Boy Minerals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mountain Boy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mountain Boy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Mountain Boy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Mountain Boy has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (1.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Mountain Boy Minerals has accumulated about 2.47 M in cash with (766.13 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07.
Roughly 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Hicks Dome Volcano in Southern Illinois - q985online.com
Check out Mountain Boy Backtesting, Mountain Boy Valuation, Mountain Boy Correlation, Mountain Boy Hype Analysis, Mountain Boy Volatility, Mountain Boy History as well as Mountain Boy Performance. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

Complementary Tools for Mountain Stock analysis

When running Mountain Boy's price analysis, check to measure Mountain Boy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mountain Boy is operating at the current time. Most of Mountain Boy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mountain Boy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mountain Boy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mountain Boy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Altman
Z Score
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
Details
Financial
Analysis
Details
Buy or Sell
Advice
Details
Technical
Analysis
Details
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mountain Boy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mountain Boy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mountain Boy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
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