Migdal Mutual (Israel) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 4028.0
| MTF-F28 Etf | ILA 5,215 11.00 0.21% |
Migdal |
Migdal Mutual Target Price Odds to finish over 4028.0
The tendency of Migdal Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 4,028 in 90 days |
| 5,215 | 90 days | 4,028 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Migdal Mutual to stay above 4,028 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Migdal Mutual Funds probability density function shows the probability of Migdal Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Migdal Mutual Funds price to stay between 4,028 and its current price of 5215.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.67 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Migdal Mutual has a beta of 0.18. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Migdal Mutual average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Migdal Mutual Funds will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Migdal Mutual Funds has an alpha of 0.1174, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Migdal Mutual Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Migdal Mutual
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Migdal Mutual Funds. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Migdal Mutual's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Migdal Mutual Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Migdal Mutual is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Migdal Mutual's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Migdal Mutual Funds, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Migdal Mutual within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 151.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Migdal Mutual Technical Analysis
Migdal Mutual's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Migdal Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Migdal Mutual Funds. In general, you should focus on analyzing Migdal Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Migdal Mutual Predictive Forecast Models
Migdal Mutual's time-series forecasting models is one of many Migdal Mutual's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Migdal Mutual's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Migdal Mutual in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Migdal Mutual's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Migdal Mutual options trading.
Check out Migdal Mutual Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Migdal Mutual Correlation, Migdal Mutual Hype Analysis, Migdal Mutual Volatility, Migdal Mutual History as well as Migdal Mutual Performance. Note that the Migdal Mutual Funds information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Migdal Mutual's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Migdal Mutual's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Migdal Mutual is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Migdal Mutual's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.