Migdal Mutual (Israel) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 9011.0
| MTF-F48 Etf | 9,204 152.00 1.68% |
Migdal |
Migdal Mutual Target Price Odds to finish below 9011.0
The tendency of Migdal Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 9,011 or more in 90 days |
| 9,204 | 90 days | 9,011 | about 81.06 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Migdal Mutual to drop to 9,011 or more in 90 days from now is about 81.06 (This Migdal Mutual Funds probability density function shows the probability of Migdal Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Migdal Mutual Funds price to stay between 9,011 and its current price of 9204.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.28 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Migdal Mutual Funds has a beta of -0.11. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Migdal Mutual are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Migdal Mutual Funds is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Migdal Mutual Funds has an alpha of 0.1569, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Migdal Mutual Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Migdal Mutual
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Migdal Mutual Funds. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Migdal Mutual's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Migdal Mutual. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Migdal Mutual's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Migdal Mutual's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Migdal Mutual Funds. Migdal Mutual Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Migdal Mutual is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Migdal Mutual's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Migdal Mutual Funds, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Migdal Mutual within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 205.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Migdal Mutual Technical Analysis
Migdal Mutual's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Migdal Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Migdal Mutual Funds. In general, you should focus on analyzing Migdal Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Migdal Mutual Predictive Forecast Models
Migdal Mutual's time-series forecasting models is one of many Migdal Mutual's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Migdal Mutual's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Migdal Mutual in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Migdal Mutual's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Migdal Mutual options trading.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. Note that the Migdal Mutual Funds information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Migdal Mutual's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.